He has many flaws. A floor would help prevent him sinking to greater depths.When the man at the top has all kinds of personal floors (basically a mini Trump)
He has many flaws. A floor would help prevent him sinking to greater depths.When the man at the top has all kinds of personal floors (basically a mini Trump)
I’ve just been reading about Andrew Marr. He’d had a very nasty Covid infection and he’d had both vaccinations. In desperation to get the tills ringing, I don’t think we are being given the full picture.Limited evidence obtained from CCTV in Australia indicate encounters of just 5 or 10 seconds walking past each other in an indoor shopping area was enough to catch the Delta variant. If this is genuinely the case then those countries that have not done many vaccinations are going to be in massive trouble in a few months time.
Delta Covid variant may be edging race against vaccines | Coronavirus | The Guardian
B.SI mentioned the other day that a GP that my wife knows had come down with Covid, even though he had had both jabs, did you see the Marr programme this morning?
Andrew Marr said that he had just got over a bout of Covid, he thinks he probably caught it at the G7 meeting a few weeks ago. He also had both jabs, and said he had the vaccines in the very early days (I think he would come under the at risk due to health problems category). So like the GP I mentioned we are probably talking of about 6 months or so since he was vaccinated.
Marr went on to say that although he did not go to Hospital, he was really quite ill, and if he had got a bit worse he would have needed to go in. He also wondered if he was just unlucky and was just one of the ones that the vaccine hasn't worked that well, or were the effects of the vaccine starting to wear off and that's why he caught the disease.
I think the next couple of months are going to be interesting in particular when we open up completely which I think we are likely to do. I'm wondering if perhaps instead of a booster shot after 12 months we might need to consider a booster after 6 months. Or perhaps a 6 month booster for the over 60s or 70s, what do the rest of you think?
it was lucky that the delta variant wasn't big back in last winter when most people were given the second jab 12 weeks after the first.I’ve just been reading about Andrew Marr. He’d had a very nasty Covid infection and he’d had both vaccinations. In desperation to get the tills ringing, I don’t think we are being given the full picture.
I’m going to let the crash test dummied go over the top on 19/07 and see how they get on.
The pandemic is a 100% hoax. Delta variant is totalLimited evidence obtained from CCTV in Australia indicate encounters of just 5 or 10 seconds walking past each other in an indoor shopping area was enough to catch the Delta variant. If this is genuinely the case then those countries that have not done many vaccinations are going to be in massive trouble in a few months time.
Delta Covid variant may be edging race against vaccines | Coronavirus | The Guardian
The pandemic is a 100% hoax. Delta variant is totalit was lucky that the delta variant wasn't big back in last winter when most people were given the second jab 12 weeks after the first.
Now it's clear that two jabs give twice the protection.
covid is just a name, call it a hoax if you like.The pandemic is a 100% hoax. Delta variant is total
B.S
B.Scovid is just a name, call it a hoax if you like.
the real cause of the pandemic is a new corona virus.
I suspect that new virus is man-made.
common cold, flu and covid are all corona viruses but only covid give more than a million of us long term damage and such a high death count.
You may well have a point, so far I have resisted this conclusion, but ...covid is just a name, call it a hoax if you like.
the real cause of the pandemic is a new corona virus.
I suspect that new virus is man-made.
common cold, flu and covid are all corona viruses but only covid give more than a million of us long term damage and such a high death count.
John Prescott always knew that.Now it's clear that two jabs give twice the protection.
In another part of my life, I am involved with many who have health issues. A very significant proportion count their illness back to some infection or other - the following being commonly mentioned:covid is just a name, call it a hoax if you like.
the real cause of the pandemic is a new corona virus.
I suspect that new virus is man-made.
common cold, flu and covid are all corona viruses but only covid give more than a million of us long term damage and such a high death count.
I don't think our brains and language are very good at thinking and writing about uncertainties. Yes, it is something that must be considered. But we need to be careful not to make it appear to be a proved case unless and until it is.You may well have a point, so far I have resisted this conclusion, but ...
Did the contracts for building and security specify "no filming of ministers in compromising positions"?Re the Security issues brought out by the Minister for Horseracing's resignation
1: The building is owned by a Singapore company
2: Security is provided by a private company
3: Apparently Hancock can't spot a CCTV camera obviously visible on the ceiling
4:The Daily Mail is desperate to make out it was a departmental whistle blower as the Sun would say "Wot did it!"
5: Clearly from the dismayed responses from other cabinet ministers that they may be being monitored, they are as dumb as he is!
Actually engineers spend a lot of time in the uncertain world of probabilitiesI don't think our brains and language are very good at thinking and writing about uncertainties. Yes, it is something that must be considered. But we need to be careful not to make it appear to be a proved case unless and until it is.
(Just there, I almost put "case until", then realised the implicit assumption that it is just a matter of time until it is. Which was not what I meant.)
Risk Event Probability | Interpretation | Rating |
---|---|---|
> 0 - <= 0.05 | Extremely sure not to occur | Low |
> 0.05 - <= 0.15 | Almost sure not to occur | Low |
> 0.15 - <= 0.25 | Not likely to occur | Low |
> 0.25 - <= 0.35 | Not very likely to occur | Low |
> 0.35 - <= 0.45 | Somewhat less than an even chance | Medium |
> 0.45 - <= 0.55 | An even chance to occur | Medium |
> 0.55 - <= 0.65 | Somewhat greater than an even chance | Medium |
> 0.65 - <= 0.75 | Likely to occur | High |
> 0.75 - <= 0.85 | Very likely to occur | High |
> 0.85 - <= 0.95 | Almost sure to occur | High |
> 0.95 - < 1 | Extremely sure to occur | High |
Yes - engineers and statisticians do manage to discuss such things. But only when they apply lots of effort, and study the subject.Actually engineers spend a lot of time in the uncertain world of probabilities
since when things go belly up it's usually because we waited too long for verifiable proof and proof made it's unpleasant appearance in ways we regret.
Hence we can attach a probability to that hypotheses
Is the Virus engineered to some degree?
Risk Event Probability Interpretation Rating > 0 - <= 0.05 Extremely sure not to occur Low > 0.05 - <= 0.15 Almost sure not to occur Low > 0.15 - <= 0.25 Not likely to occur Low > 0.25 - <= 0.35 Not very likely to occur Low > 0.35 - <= 0.45 Somewhat less than an even chance Medium > 0.45 - <= 0.55 An even chance to occur Medium > 0.55 - <= 0.65 Somewhat greater than an even chance Medium > 0.65 - <= 0.75 Likely to occur High > 0.75 - <= 0.85 Very likely to occur High > 0.85 - <= 0.95 Almost sure to occur High > 0.95 - < 1 Extremely sure to occur High
At the moment I rate that possibility somewhere around 0.3
Further to that if it is then the probability of accident gets a rating of 0.6