Trying to encapsulate the main reasons for UK's appalling CV performance. My order is for deaths caused:
- refusal to apply lockdown and social distancing until long after it was obviously sensible.
I think this will prove to have been the major mistake. It was known or at least strongly suspected that this virus was doubling the infection rate in as little as three days. When something is that contagious then if we had gone to lock down just a week earlier (many experts were suggesting this at the time), it would have made a big difference.
If we had locked down two weeks earlier (again people were suggesting this too), then I think that would have resulted in the UK being towards the bottom of the death rate in Europe instead of at the top.
Some of the old Eastern Block Countries were worried that their health systems would be completely over-run, they introduced stringent lockdowns before they had any or very few virus cases.
This has turned out (so far anyway) to have been the correct strategy, they could not afford to take any risks or listen to know it all behavioural scientists they just closed everything down.
It would appear our behavioural scientists persuaded the government that if we locked down to early then the public would quickly lose patience and would start to flout the rules in a very short period of time. I suspect that this thinking was completely wrong, most people are not stupid (note I said most not all), they could see what was happening in Italy and would have complied with an early lock down.
If we had locked down two weeks earlier used track and trace effectively then we would be in a much better position now. Too much time and energy has been expended on grand schemes (BJ loves the big schemes), instead of boasting about us having the best this and the best that in the world we should have been cracking on with simple ideas that less wealthy countries were doing successfully.