It amuses me that Brexiters seem satisfied with the outcome of the first stage of the Brexit talks when they have so obviously lost yet again. To explain:
The War over Europe
Ever since we joined the Common Market in 1973, the anti-Europeans (now called Leavers) in our population have been at war with the concept. The first battle in that war was the 1975 referendum which the pro Europeans (now called Remainers) won.
Score: Remainers 1, Leavers 0
The next battle was over the Maastricht Treaty in 1993, which would turn the Common Market (then known as the EEC) into the EU. Once again the Remainers won and we joined the EU.
Score: Remainers 2, Leavers 0
Then came the 2016 referendum which the Leavers won.
Score: Remainers 2, Leavers 1
Then after we gave notice to depart the negotiations with the EU began, the Brexiters insisted that the talks had to be about the leaving conditions and trade in parallel. They lost that battle, the talks started on the departure conditions only.
Score: Remainers 3, Leavers 1
The departure conditions the Leavers wanted were closed borders, full UK sovereignty, no payment to leave and an insistence on no transition period. They lost on closed borders, they lost on sovereignty, they lost on payment and they lost on the transition period. We are to have an open inter-Irish EU border and an open N.I. to mainland UK border, we will have regulatory alignment accepting EU conditions, we are to pay up to £40 billions to leave and there is going to be a transition period of at least two years. That's four Leaver battles lost.
Score: Remainers 7, Leavers 1
The next stage finally had to be about trade talks according to the Leavers. It's not, instead on the insistence of the EU it will be deciding the duration of the transition period and all the conditions during its existence. Leaver's battle lost again.
Score: Remainers 8, Leavers 1
After the transition talks the trade talks will finally begin, but then the Leavers will get more shocks. We won't just be given free trade, just like the Norwegians and others we'll have to pay in for that benefit, adding much much more to the £40 billions or so. And those trade payments will be annual, not just a one-off amount.
Eventually the UK will nominally leave the EU, but when that happens I suggest the Leavers look at the meaning of Pyrrhic victory, for that is what they will have won.
Footnote:
A Pyrrhic victory is a victory that inflicts such a devastating toll on the victor that it is tantamount to defeat. Someone who wins a Pyrrhic victory has been victorious in some way, though the heavy toll negates a true sense of achievement or profit.
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