I tend to ask relevant questions and form a balanced view based on the responses obtained and I'm sure there are sellers out there who do know how to look after batteries. However much misrepresentation and hanky panky goes on with eBay, not every seller lies about everything they sell and most would not understand the implications of their responses to various questions anyway. I hardly ever see info on care of batteries in eBike ads for example. So you can do your own risk appraisal with an understanding of the basics. In the end, assuming the worst of all things means you're likely to miss out on good opportunities.You've highlighted the problem Alex. You know how to look after a lightly used battery, but most consumers don't as we so often see in here with posts about batteries failed after being left idle and unchecked for many months.
With second hand batteries the worst scenario should always be assumed when buying, assuming the best is a bit like believing the stock investment that could pay 10% p/a interest will definitely do so.
Bottom line is if buyers of 2nd hand eBikes don't step up and recognize positive aspects of the opportunities they are presented with (as well as trying to self-insure 2nd hand purchases by devaluing all aspects automatically in their willingness to pay), a number of things will happen :
- The market turnover will be weakened
- Brand value will initially be damaged - collapse in confidence of premium brands especially. If I see bikes unable to be sold or trading on for well below their intrinsic value on eBay etc. I will more than likely steer both brand & model a much wider berth both in terms of new and 2nd hand eBikes.
- There will be less demand for new models and fewer new sales as owners will hang on to their bikes rather than trade up (or may keep bikes for long periods rather than sell meaning no supply of the better younger 2nd hand bikes). The better quality market in particular will be hit hardest.
- Buyers will think very hard about paying premium prices for new bikes and may become more reluctant to do so, especially in a sector where technology is constantly evolving. The 2-yearly cost of trading up underlying bikes/systems will start to become disproportionate for all but heavy users.
- Sales seen will be forced by circumstances over preferences and this will lead to a maximum value for any 2nd hand eBike within 1st 2 years, however old. If that stabilized at under £1k then I'd predict ultimately the typical Bosch/BH-type bikes at £2.5k+ could be hard hit in terms of new sales and those keeping bikes for 3+ years may also feel a knock-on with effective annual ownership cost over 3 years of about £750p.a. and 1-yr ownership winding up costing £1,200 or more.
That would make many people think very hard before buying a new eBike. Certainly, the cost of keeping up with technological advancement or changing preferences becomes very high indeed - especially when half the time it seems you wind up being a guinea-pig for supplier software debugging trials !
Somewhere in there I still think that people know quality when they see it and when they do they will be willing to pay a fair price for what a bike is worth. Be interesting to see how the market develops over next few years.
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