Brexit, for once some facts.

Jennifer Jenkins

Pedelecer
Jun 6, 2018
68
36
Where have you been all my life Jennifer?
Yep, welcome.
A Haibike by the way. Can't go wrong.
Yes I have seen those. But my goodness they do not come cheap and I am not a wealthy woman. Though once we're out of the EU and more countries can sell stuff to us without the EU putting a tariff on top prices will come down (oh how the remainers and socialists will scream). But not enough I fear for me to be able to get a Haibike! But thanks for the suggestion.
 
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Jennifer Jenkins

Pedelecer
Jun 6, 2018
68
36
Gosh Jenn, that view seems incredibly similar to that held by a former contributor to this thread. Welcome to the discussion nonetheless.

Tom
If you like the man you like him a lot. He has fans all over the country. SW1 hates him. People are intimidated by his IQ I think. Which has got to be 140+ easy.
 

tillson

Esteemed Pedelecer
May 29, 2008
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YouGov have JC as having 24% of those polled thinking he, d make best PM, a substantial drop. They are attributing 44% to TM, a small rise.????

Labour are giving away, well actually given away, a golden opportunity.
I’m surprised they are still doing these polls. They have a consistent track record of providing useless information. I don’t know why anyone publishes, refers to or acknowledges anything they predict. A random number generator would provide more reliable data.
 

Woosh

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May 19, 2012
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Jennifer,

Here is the YouGov data:

Sample Size: 1619 GB Adults Fieldwork: 4th - 5th June 2018

Q: Headline Voting Intention:
Con: 29-29 May: 42, 4-5 June: 44, up 2
Labour: 29-29 May: 39, 4-5 June: 37, down 2
LibDems: 29-29 May: 9, 4-5 June: 8, down 1

Don't read too much into it, one person out of 100 switches side.
You need monthly average for statistical significance.

The main point of discussion is the brexit question.

Right to leave: 28/29 May: 40, now: 44, up 4.
Wrong to leave: 28/29 May: 47, now: 44, down 3

Since before the last GE a year ago, the trend is consistent, more people find that it's wrong to leave. You can put it down to brexit fatigue but the basics are clear: the EU is not going to yield much, either we stop banging at a brickwall or be practical, adopt one of their schemes: Norway, Switzerland, Turkey or Canada.

Stop banging at a brickwall = Canada minus.
 
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Jennifer Jenkins

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Jun 6, 2018
68
36
I really do not understand how a party leader can stand by and take no action when a member of the Cabinet is patently following his own agenda and pontificating to those who will listen in a manner which undermines the leader.

Johnson is a loose cannon and each reported outpouring from him is sheer obfuscation designed purely in the hope that he may transfer his self-importance to a wider audience, rather than to express any valid prognosis for the derailed 'Brexit' train.

These words from Johnson illustrate perfectly what a bad idea Care in the Community is as a replacement for so many dedicated hospitals:

He also said he was "increasingly admiring of Donald Trump", who is preparing for an historic summit with North Korea's leader Kim Jong-un.
Mr Johnson was reported to have said: "I have become more and more convinced that there is method in his madness."
"Imagine Trump doing Brexit," he added.
"He'd go in bloody hard... There'd be all sorts of breakdowns, all sorts of chaos. Everyone would think he'd gone mad. But actually you might get somewhere.
"It's a very, very good thought."


Tom
Oh there is no doubt Trump would be infinitely more effective in these negotiations than the shambles we have at the moment.
 

Jennifer Jenkins

Pedelecer
Jun 6, 2018
68
36
I’m surprised they are still doing these polls. They have a consistent track record of providing useless information. I don’t know why anyone publishes, refers to or acknowledges anything they predict. A random number generator would provide more reliable data.
I think you will find yougov got the election almost spot on. The only one that did I might add.
And as it is a bank holiday we are stuck in a 25 mile tailback behind a diesel tractor towing a leaking Muck Spreader in front and a Livestock lorry loaded with pigs behind.
The good news is that the wind has dropped, the sun has come out and you can't see far for the heat shimmering on the line of standing vehicles.
Well I do hope you have a nice time. My husband and I are staying put this time - I want him to sort out the garden but he seems to be snoozing in his favourite chair so I am not holding much hope.
 

Woosh

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May 19, 2012
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Oh there is no doubt Trump would be infinitely more effective in these negotiations than the shambles we have at the moment.
anyone can throw a tantrum.
It serves no purpose other than making the one who throws their weight about looking ridiculous if his / her tactics does not work.
Donald Trump can huff and puff as much as he likes, intelligent people know that in the long term, he's got to sit down and talk sensibly. Even with the North Koreans. Otherwise, the Koreans are going to go for re-unification and throw the American soldiers out of their country.
 
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Jennifer Jenkins

Pedelecer
Jun 6, 2018
68
36
anyone can throw a tantrum.
It serves no purpose other than making the one who throws their weight about looking ridiculous if his / her tactics does not work.
Donald Trump can huff and puff as much as he likes, intelligent people know that in the long term, he's got to sit down and talk sensibly. Even with the North Koreans. Otherwise, the Koreans are going to go for re-unification and throw the American soldiers out of their country.
'Intelligent people'. Thus assuming Trump is not. That's the sort of attitude that make a lot of people vote leave. We did not appreciate being labelled as stupid. Trump is many things - but stupid? To take on the entire Republicn establishment - and win. And then to take on Hilary and all her corporate money - and win. That took something more than stupidity.
 
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flecc

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Oct 25, 2006
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'Intelligent people'. Thus assuming Trump is not. That's the sort of attitude that make a lot of people vote leave. We did not appreciate being labelled as stupid. Trump is many things - but stupid? To take on the entire Republicn establishment - and win. And then to take on Hilary and all her corporate money - and win. That took something more than stupidity.
Indeed it took more. It took lies, bluff and rabble rousing the easily led.

Proves once again that the people get the poor governance they deserve.
.
 

Woosh

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Mr Trump is intelligent alright, there is no dispute about it.
But that depends on how you define intelligence. Is it the ability to make money in business? or is it about delivering on his promises? jobs for the rust belt of America? Take on China's unfair trade?
He is very good on the first.
On the last two, he's not.
His tactics are like Luke Rheinhart in 'The Dice Man'. Create chaos, hoping something will come out of it. A quick result if he is lucky.
If he is not, he's not the one paying for breakages. That's a devious, not an intelligent, responsible man.
 
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flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
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Mr Trump is intelligent alright, there is no dispute about it.
But that depends on how you define intelligence. Is it the ability to make money in business? or is it about delivering on his promises? jobs for the rust belt of America? Take on China's unfair trade?
He is very good on the first.
I'd challenge that he's even good at the first. Long ago he inherited his clever father's large and successful business and promptly took it into bankruptcy. The only thing that then saved him was the property boom, hugely inflating prices of what he still had making it possible for him to buy his way out of failure with loans.

It's not intelligence that enables him to stay afloat, it's just being ruthless enough to stoop to any level to get his own way, combined with utter contempt for all other people.
.
 
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Woosh

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the blame game seems to have started in the right wing press.

Nigel Farage: "Britain will be in an even worse place than we are now”

Julia H. Brewer: "brexit is turning into a national humiliation"

It's of course all TM's fault.
 
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Zlatan

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 26, 2016
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Yes I have seen those. But my goodness they do not come cheap and I am not a wealthy woman. Though once we're out of the EU and more countries can sell stuff to us without the EU putting a tariff on top prices will come down (oh how the remainers and socialists will scream). But not enough I fear for me to be able to get a Haibike! But thanks for the suggestion.
I got mine second hand. After trying a lot came to conclusion 2nd hand Haibike (700 miles) was better than new cheaper models. Have a look on James Cycles (of Rotherham) tho. Some big discounts on Haibike at moment. Good luck.
 
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Zlatan

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 26, 2016
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4,290
'Intelligent people'. Thus assuming Trump is not. That's the sort of attitude that make a lot of people vote leave. We did not appreciate being labelled as stupid. Trump is many things - but stupid? To take on the entire Republicn establishment - and win. And then to take on Hilary and all her corporate money - and win. That took something more than stupidity.
Made that point myself a few thousand posts back... Totally agree. And the 3rd world war some predicted he, d cause hasn't happened. American business is booming, he, s gained more support and seems to have made progress with North Korea... Oh, yes. He, s stupid.
 
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Woosh

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American business is booming
down to tax cut, not much else.
the Dow Jones was 26,600+ when DT took over from Obama, it promptly dropped 3,000. It only recovered because of tax cuts (25,200, still less than when Obama left).
Every conservative government here has tried the tax cut trick, makes a lot of noises 'the economy is booming' - the effect does not last for long, people in the know take the profit out of their balance sheets for a 2-3 years, long enough for the next change of the guards.
DT claimed victory: steel factories re-open: 50,000 new jobs. Let's wait until the world retaliates, buying less American products, 100,000 job losses. That's the sort of things that make low tariff trading a success today. DT puts up duty, DT will destroy more jobs than reviving a few steel factories.
 
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