Outbreak of Delta Covid cases likely to put strain on health services in areas with low vaccination rates, experts say
Once again the experts are getting this wrong, I'm frankly getting sick of them and their false predictions.
I've posted a couple of times a while ago about how little we are suffering here and yesterday's national news brought support for what I've been saying. It was announced that London was one of the only four areas where Covid isn't increasing, despite the Delta variant. And in my large London Borough of Croydon, London's second largest, we are doing even better. And that is not due to a lower testing rate as someone suggested last time, our testing rate is similar and our death rate currently zero.
Yet completely contradictory to what the experts are saying, our vaccination rates are the opposite, lower in London and far lower in Croydon, still 20 points lower just as I've reported previously so that is also consistent. Here's the current vaccination dose ratios in round numbers:
National: First 88%, Second 78%
London: First 82%, Second 70%
Croydon: First 67%, Second 58%
Yet London's Covid rates not rising and Croydon's still falling.
So why are we not suffering in the predicted way?
I gave part of the answer right at the beginning of the pandemic when London was suffering 2.5 times the rate as the rest of the country and Croydon the highest of all in London. I said it would benefit us later, and it did, since as the rest of the country started to catch up with us, our rates were falling, both London and Croydon.
Against huge opposition, my mantra throughout since then has been, since we can't stop it, lets get it over with more quickly. Not herd immunity, that doesn't exist, just reduced vulnerability through prior infection.
My explanation as to why we are suffering so much less from Delta when all around us are, despite our very low vaccination rates, is twofold:
First is that the very high earlier infection rates with far less virulent strains has given us some protection against the Delta's high infectivity.
Second that the vaccines protective benefits have been greatly exaggerated, as the current national Delta spread shows, against their high national vaccination rates.
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