So in so far as it is heavy, it is, inefficient yes ..but even with those built in inefficiencies, the Prius was still competitive.
Fleccs argument is more compelling . Having multiple technologies in the car is added weight and cost.
In market terms the game for the Prius and it's kin is over though, just look at the retreat. First they gave it a plug in option to extend its life, now they've launched pure battery electric, hiding it under their Lexus name to avoid it looking like defeat, and the hybrids will be banned in many markets shortly.
If lithium battery technology evolves so that a 5 minute fill is feasible , and range increased to 800km , without the battery lifetime compromised, then it is game over. If on the other had, battery prices escalate, that leaves room for hybrids using either a ICE or fuel cell.
No to the five minutes and 800 km, that's just the ICE mentality thinking that. You have to forget all you knew about ICE to get your e-car thinking right. For example:
E-cars leave home with a full tank from the home charger, ICE the opposite, often depleted and needing to fill soon. Therefore an e-car driver in today's new models will drive for 200 or 300 miles depending on model bought before needing to top up. By then on our lousy roads they will be more than ready for a break, so 15 minutes over a coffee is fine.
And 15 minutes is enough with the new generation cars and chargers to add at least 100 to 150 miles, depending on car model chosen. In fact those being launched now have charge rates at of at least 100kW with many at 200 kW and 350 kW capability chargers being installed already. Now consider that 4 miles per kW/h is routine already in my 15 foot long e-car and you'll understand why range and charging times are not a problem.
And there's another way in which all ICE thinking needs to be abandoned.
Forget the traditional filling stations, I predict their total demise. E-car charging is progressing on a totally different route:
1) Pre-charging at home.
2) Charging incorporated into one's life. This is the most dramatic development and change, with all sorts of outlets we use signing up in a rush to have very rapid charging points. Fast food drive throughs and some static units of McDonalds, Kentucky Fried, Burgher King, Starbucks, Costa Coffee. Gyms like David Lloyd leisure centres. Even some restaurants with car parking are signing up and even national parks. After early tries with slow chargers the supermarkets have renewed interest now as they see the potential, with Tesco leading the charge (sic) into rapid chargers. A lot of those are already there, including IKEA and others where you can have free charging as a "loss leader" to gain custom.
I trust you can see the implications. Charging will no longer be an event like filling up so no time needs to be spent on it. Charging will just be something that happens in the normal course of living as we do now, while sleeping at home or in hotels, shopping, picking up fast food, visiting a gym, having a restaurant meal etc.
3) Motorway and trunk route large ultra-rapid charging stations for topping up on long runs not covered by the above.
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