Unfortunately it isn't necessarily a silly conspiracy theory, when this government itself was founded by conspirators
Let me give you two examples of risking human lives for the sake of popularity
"Eat out to help out"
Great idea if you are an undertaker, or in the hospitality sector.
And why would Johnson have "Fought for Christmas"? is there any chance at all it didn't occur to him that this would cost lives?
And Johnson is an man who lies far too often for any sane person not to suspect his motives
The latest victory claim is that "one shot of vaccine gives 80% protection"
We all already knew that
What is conveniently being played down is that Two injections at the proper interval raise that protection to 96% or even 98%
So this huge and important difference is being sacrificed for political reasons, not really practical ones.
What we seek on here is the best protection possible for the public
Not the politicians
I totally agree with sentiments around maximum benefit for us all. So let's examine your figures.
Assume your higher figure (95%?) achieved after 2 doses. (stopping hospitalisation)
Now let's assume only 75% after a single dose.
Multiply the figure achieved by the number helped to give a figure for total benefit. (assume 3 weeks from now for ease)
Today we have had 21 million fist dose.
So 75%x21 million is roughly 15 million kept away from hospital.(potentially)
Now assume your regime of 2 doses. Halving the number helped. 10.5 million x95%.. Around 9 million kept away from hospital.
Your argument is not correct around it being a political decision. If it is, it will fail, where does that leave BJ? The decision is made for right reasons by those making the decision. Yes, it could be wrong, but its looking as though it is not. Either way calling it political is misled. Even from Johnson's point of view it must be a Sage decision. If its not his political career is absolutely on the line. Short term success (as I explained earlier) is of no use to anyone. Johnson included. Getting a good start in a marathon is important but crossing the line much more so. He knows full well his political future will be decided in perhaps a year's time. He can't risk not getting over the line by jeapordising race with a faulty start. Nobody can.
Your argument defeats itself. Why would he or Sage destroy a good finish for a lead in opinion polls today? It would be sense less and he and Sage simply aren't.