Brexit, for once some facts.

Zlatan

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The makers tests showed a 5% improvement from 90 to 95% using two doses, hardly crucial in such a random outcome field.

So I'll choose to trust those rather than one of the increasingly strange and inconsistent reports coming out of Israel.
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Yep, the stuff coming out of both Israel and Germany is odd.....
Leave it to OG. He understands everything.
 
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flecc

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Oct 25, 2006
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why do you say that? People know that our hospitals have twice as many covid patients (38,000) as at the peak of the first wave, 4,000 on ventilators.
Zlatan said 80% coping well.

38,000 in hospitals is 0.06% of the population, so 99.94% are doing well at coping with Covid.

Crisis? What crisis?
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Woosh

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Figures I saw suggested 80% of cases are either asymptotic or slight to fairly bad symptoms but no treatment or hospitalisation. Of the 20% with severe symptoms rougjly half wll require hospitalisation and of those a quarter will die..
So for 80% covid presents from a mild cold to mild flu.. Upping that by any means to let's say 90 % would see hospitalisation etc halved..??? Vaccine doesn't have to be perfect to do that??
Vast majority of us already deal fairly well, we need to make that group larger...???
to make it tolerable, the number of covid patients in hospitals needs to be under 10,000-15,000.
Hospital admissions must be under 1,000 a day, new cases under 10,000 a day at the peak of the next wave.
Do the maths.
We need 70%+ reduction in cases.
 

oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
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Yes. I had the unenviable task of ringing up my cousin to let her know that my sisters husband had just died. Her immediate response was Covid.. which it wasn't. He died on the table ,three weeks ago having the same procedure .. (angioplasty) as I had had 3 months previously . But it could be Covid related in that he would have been reluctant to go to hospital due to the Covid rates in South Wales , and delayed until after Christmas.
Tough on everyone. Being in Wales, I am so very aware of the high rates in some areas. So far out local hospital has been doing quite well. I think all Covid-19 cases are shipped out as soon as they have been assessed.

I am very concerned about this person as he seems only to have an elderly mother who lives a hundred miles away. I'll volunteer to go fetch her, if appropriate. But, obviously, Covid-19 is an issue in every step of that.
 
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Zlatan

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Nov 26, 2016
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Zlatan said 80% coping well.

38,000 in hospitals is 0.06% of the population, so 99.94% are doing well at coping with Covid.

Crisis? What crisis?
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You have a point but according to ONS only 1 in 50 of us are infected... If we all were that puts 3% of us in hospital.
I, d guess NHS would collapse at 0.2%???probably less??
Can't believe they are discussing reducing restrictions..
 
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oyster

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The last time I looked, the NHS was the responsibility of the government. There’s even a health minister!
Not so simple. There are FOUR NHS organisations - E, NI, S and W each has their own. Yes, lots of links, but they are separate and responsibilities are not quite so easily assessed.
 
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Zlatan

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Nov 26, 2016
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to make it tolerable, the number of covid patients in hospitals needs to be under 10,000-15,000.
Hospital admissions must be under 1,000 a day, new cases under 10,000 a day at the peak of the next wave.
Do the maths.
We need 70%+ reduction in cases.
Totally agree... Vaccine won't do it all. We, ll need restrictions on our freedoms as well. Not sure folk are willing. They will see numbers drop and go out and party. Numbers will go up, then those same folk will look for somebody to blame.
 
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Jesus H Christ

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Dec 31, 2020
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Then how come the number of variants appearing?
Maybe the virus doesn't read the articles
Just like Flu, many of the mutations are of no concern whatsoever because they aren’t vaccine resistant. It’s those that can beat the vaccine that we concern ourselves with. Because Covid mutates more slowly than Flu, vaccine beating strains will be less prevalent and easier to thwart if they do appear.
 
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Danidl

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Sep 29, 2016
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This is what I meant when I suggested that many deaths of old people with underlying conditions put down to Covid are nothing of the sort. Covid-19 is so entrenched in all minds now, that has become inevitable.

Cause of death is often difficult to ascertain and Covid-19 has become too easy a cop-out.

It wouldn't surprise me if at least 25% of the so called Covid deaths were not, especially with this nonsense of deaths within 28 days of a positve test automatically assigned to Covid.
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Which is why I have no faith in the UK data. I do trust the Irish data, because it is not time limited ,and when they mention the daily totals they make corrections such as .".. We are removing 6 deaths as due to other causes and adding 8 which were reported late. "
 
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Jesus H Christ

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Totally agree... Vaccine won't do it all. We, ll need restrictions on our freedoms as well. Not sure folk are willing. They will see numbers drop and go out and party. Numbers will go up, then those same folk will look for somebody to blame.
Hopefully, once everyone is vaccinated, the ant-vaccination, ant-mask and anti-lockdown clowns can get on with killing themselves with less inconvenience to the rest of us. I don’t think they should be allowed into hospitals though when they eventually do succumb to the virus, they can be treated in a gazebo set up in the car park along with a 100 psi compressor and airline to substitute for a ventilator. The sooner we rid ourselves of these idiots the better as far as I’m concerned.
 

Zlatan

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Nov 26, 2016
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I know it sounds like I often defend BJ/Tories and indirectly I suppose I do, for which I apologise. Without doubt they could have handled it better.
But whilst ever there is a target to blame, to deflect people's own guilt people will use it.
People no longer take personal responsibility for anything. Every thing is somebody else's fault. "they should have locked down earlier*" the rules are complicared""they didn't do rules in Swahili*" Dominic Cummings drove all over country"Its endless and whilst ever its available people will use it.
The spirit of the rules have been easy. The logistics difficult. Folk have used it throughout and starting blame culture now will only add to it.
When this is really behind us is the time to find out what went wrong and who is responsible. Starting recrimination now, before the story is finished, only fuels the fire of both civil unrest and spread of covid.
 

oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
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West West Wales
Figures I saw suggested 80% of cases are either asymptotic or slight to fairly bad symptoms but no treatment or hospitalisation. Of the 20% with severe symptoms rougjly half wll require hospitalisation and of those a quarter will die..
So for 80% covid presents from a mild cold to mild flu.. Upping that by any means to let's say 90 % would see hospitalisation etc halved..??? Vaccine doesn't have to be perfect to do that??
Vast majority of us already deal fairly well, we need to make that group larger...???
Add in the considerable numbers who have to go to hospital in the months after their initial Covid-19 - even if they did not need hospital treatment initially.

Who knows how vaccination will affect those numbers?
 
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flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
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Starting recrimination now, before the story is finished, only fuels the fire of both civil unrest and spread of covid.
On past issues I agree.

But that doesn't mean we should stop complaining about current issues that can still be corrected. Like the vaccine distribution shambles.
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Zlatan

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Nov 26, 2016
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They say it, repeatedly, because, well, there's no other way of putting it, he did.
I suspect people on here are capable of saying it without letting it change their behaviour. That is not the case with most of nation. Many will say"well he drove all over, why shouldn't I... "
Its not just Cummings its our blame culture.
" not my fault" That was endemic years before covid.
That's why I don't think Campbell is helping. Give folk a get out and they will snatch it.
 
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Woosh

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May 19, 2012
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The good news is that Coronavirus is likely to mutate at a lower rate than flu. It will never go away in our lifetime.
the opposite seems to happen at the moment.
 

Woosh

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May 19, 2012
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The makers tests showed a 5% improvement from 90 to 95% using two doses, hardly crucial in such a random outcome field.
where did you see that? The 'prime boost' system needs the second jab. The first jab primes the immune system, the second jab brings the immune response to protective level.
 
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