Sometimes his main appeal would appear to be "He's not ...."
Fill in the blanks with whichever other candidate(s) are currently being demonised.
Brexit, for once some facts.
- Thread starter flecc
- Start date
Fill in the blanks with whichever other candidate(s) are currently being demonised.
I have been wondering what the US military have been putting in place.Media outlets in the US are putting in place plans to counter act Trump declaring victory before many of the postal votes have been counted.
‘It’s not up to him’: how media outlets plan to sidestep any Trump ‘victory’ news
With reports that the president intends to make a premature speech, newsrooms across the US are bracing for misinformationwww.theguardian.com
I suspect an awful lot of them are as unhappy with Trump as most of the rest of the world. They might feel they have to protect the country despite POTUS being commander in chief. (Funny how he can take on that military role despite heel spurs.)
Forget that, this is far more important:
Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
Pick No 2.
if you don't switch, your chance of winning the car is between 1/3 and 1/2.
Door No2 gives a little better statistical chance, 1/2.
I use this strategy quite often to plan for new bikes.
if you don't switch, your chance of winning the car is between 1/3 and 1/2.
Door No2 gives a little better statistical chance, 1/2.
I use this strategy quite often to plan for new bikes.
It's because he speaks their language, inevitable because the people who like him as the politican they want are also total buffoons on the face of it.
We have a similar situation in this country with our own pet clown, Boris Johnson.
.
Have a look at this. It looks fairly legit to me. There's too much detail for somebody to make it up. You can see the detail in their planning at the end of the vid:
Leaked Zoom Call Shows PLANNED COUP Against Trump and Attack on White House
SUPPORT MY SHOW WITH ONE-TIME DONATIONS ✅Cashapp: https://cash.app/$VincentJamesRed BTC -- 3GErULEErnwGEoB2z15vgukfZcg3XHteGL _____________________________ SUPPORT MY SHOW BY SUBSCRIBING TO PATREON OR SUBSCRIBESTAR ✅PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/TheRedElephants ✅SUBSCRIBSTAR...
www.bitchute.com
Last edited:
If they are not independent then after event 1 has occurred a responsive system might change its prediction of event 2; depending on known details of the inter-dependence.
If they are independent the probability of either is 19/100. The 2/10 does not allow for the 1/100 probability of both.
in election polls, the results of previous election are used to adjust the weighting of the dataset - so the accuracy should improve compared to previous elections.
In Clinton / Trump, the poll predictions were:
chance of winning: 71.4% / 28.6%. Real result: Trump won.
electoral votes: 302/235, real result: 227/304
popular votes: 48.5%/44.9%, real result: 62,523,126/61,201,031 votes or 48%/47%
Trump's share of popular votes were 2.1% more than polls predicted.
Current projections:
chance of winning: Biden / Trump: 90%/10%.
electoral votes: Biden / Trump: 348/190
popular votes: 53.4%/45.4%
even if Trump's share of popular votes is 2%-3% more than polls predicted, he still won't win.
In Clinton / Trump, the poll predictions were:
chance of winning: 71.4% / 28.6%. Real result: Trump won.
electoral votes: 302/235, real result: 227/304
popular votes: 48.5%/44.9%, real result: 62,523,126/61,201,031 votes or 48%/47%
Trump's share of popular votes were 2.1% more than polls predicted.
Current projections:
chance of winning: Biden / Trump: 90%/10%.
electoral votes: Biden / Trump: 348/190
popular votes: 53.4%/45.4%
even if Trump's share of popular votes is 2%-3% more than polls predicted, he still won't win.
The problem with polls is this:
If you ask a person who it is that they intend to vote for, by saying, “Trump” you invite the following response from the Hard Left;
You ******* bastard racist ****. I hope you live to see all of your children die from cancer, only before you die from it yourself you ******* imbecile ****.
To avoid this happening, people either say I dunno, or probably sleepy Joe.
Once they get into the privacy of the polling booth and away from the hatred, I think they feel more at liberty to vote according to their true feelings.
I’m sure this phenomenon has distorted the U.K. polls and it wouldn’t surprise me to see it happening in the USA.
Some pollsters, who have a history of accuracy in their predictions ask different questions, like, "Who do you think your neighbours will vote for", or "Who will your extended family members vote for". These polls are showing trump well ahead!
Fight the fines are now in the UK. Ezra's on the ball, fighting for the little people:
www.rebelnews.com
SHOCK VIDEO: West Yorks police handcuff a single mum for criticizing lockdown. Help her fight back!
The fearless source of news, opinion, and activism that you won't find anywhere else.
www.rebelnews.com
Rasmussen perhaps?
I read something amusing:
Trump has a habit of self-assessing his own approval among Republicans without actually citing any data.
He has tweeted about his GOP approval nearly 50 times over the course of two years, only twice mentioning actual polls. He initially said his GOP approval was 90% in 2018, before claiming 93% in the first half of 2019, 94% from July to October 2019, 95% until April 2020 and 96% since then, without deviation. “President Trump Approval Rating in the Republican Party at 96%. Thank You!” he tweeted on Friday.
If Trump wins, Sidney Powell will become FBI Director. I would love to see that. She'd soon have all the crooked guys in there out. It's desperately what's needed if you believe in democracy, fairness, equity and justice.
It was weird that Christopher Ray, who was sent in to sort it out, never did anything. He must be compromised in some way. Sidney Powell is as clean as they come, in fact she's even cleaner than that. You can be sure that she'll do a good job.
It was weird that Christopher Ray, who was sent in to sort it out, never did anything. He must be compromised in some way. Sidney Powell is as clean as they come, in fact she's even cleaner than that. You can be sure that she'll do a good job.
Those figures are approval within the republican party. They look about right to me.
An interesting statistic came out the other day. Around 20% of the people attending his recent rallies are registered to vote democrat!
I've been watching both Trump and Biden rallies. Trump is very confident and he seems very relaxed. He keeps saying that their polls show that he's on track to win. Most of his supporters are predicting a landslide. On the other hand, Biden seems to be very nervous and lacking in confidence. Kamala as well seems to come across very fake and unconfident.
The bookies show that all the money is going on Biden to win. One guy bet $1,000,000 on him yesterday.
Last edited:
where did you read that? I thought 10% of those who voted for Trump in 2016 vote for Biden this time. If 20% of Dems vote for Trump then surely 30% of Reps must have switched side to make up the current popular vote prediction.
Here's something about it:
Americans Think Their Neighbors Are Secretly Voting for Trump, Poll Shows - Florida Daily
The poll found voters who considered themselves to be “very liberal” were three times more likely to believe their neighbors were backing Trump.
www.floridadaily.com
That made be laugh. if you watch a Trump rally, all the crowd are just waiting for the cue to start their chant. It gets funnier every time, like when you re-watch your favourite comedy sketch.Lock her up! Lock her up!
I've heard it from several commentators. There's something here that I just found from a Google search:
Surprise report: 20% of the audiences at Trump rallies are Democrats
President Trump’s huge campaign rallies have become the signature event of his presidency, well known for upbeat energy and huge crowds. Some 10,000 to 14,000 Trump fans are typically inside the host arena, with thousands more outside watching the event on multiple Jumbotron screens. Now comes a...
www.washingtontimes.com
Trump campaign official: 25 percent of rally attendees are Democrats or independents
A campaign official for President Trump’s 2020 campaign said Tuesday that roughly a quarter of those who attend his rallies identify as either a Democrat or an independent voter.“That mea…
thehill.com