Brexit, for once some facts.

oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
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C`mon Dan get it signed!!. Over 100k and counting, so will be debated

Petition
Brexit re article 50 it must not be suspended/stopped under any circumstances


the full details are well known to everyone the media has covered it fully

More details Sign this petition

101,622 signatures
Only another 17 million to go, should get here by 2099
 

Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
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In can assure you Mr. Dodds is sitting relaxed with his feet up, quietly watching as the clock runs down - Tic-toc, tic-toc
when the next GE arrives, he should remember that 62% voted for no change.
 

Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
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I fail to see how that would affect Mr. Dodds in the next GE??
the same way MPs in Westminster have to justify their take on brexit when they vote against their constituency. Belfast North narrowly voted for remain but a no deal brexit will lead to job losses. Mr Dodds's last majority may not be so safe.
 

Danidl

Esteemed Pedelecer
Sep 29, 2016
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put yourself in place of Mr Nigel Dodds.
What can he do? if he sides with TM, he's possibly putting NI in the backstop.
If he sides with JRM, he'll certainly put a border between the two parts of Ireland.
If he sides with neither, he'll get Corbyn.
His best move is to revert brexit but he can't do that alone.
The least damaging brexit for Mr Dodds is one that has a border with the ROI, most of NI trade is with the UK.
Woosh, the statement that most of NI trade is with UK,is one of those semi truths.. not a lie,and not the full story either.it is a statistic which conceals as much as it reveals. Since NI is part of the UK internal trade qualifies under that umbrella. What you mean is that Mainland UK is the single largest market for NI exports. But RoI and Rest of World trade from NI are greater than that to mainland UK . In addition a substantial fraction of that trade to mainland UK is carried out by hauling freight from NI factories, via the ports of Dublin and Rosslare,for landing in Wales.
That also ignores the amount of bidirectional traffic of semi finished goods travelling in both directions across the border for finishing.
Again Mr Dodds needs to start talking to his own constituents
 
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Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
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Woosh, the statement that most of NI trade is with UK,is one of those semi truths.. not a lie,and not the full story either.it is a statistic which conceals as much as it reveals. Since NI is part of the UK internal trade qualifies under that umbrella. What you mean is that Mainland UK is the single largest market for NI exports. But RoI and Rest of World trade from NI are greater than that to mainland UK . In addition a substantial fraction of that trade to mainland UK is carried out by hauling freight from NI factories, via the ports of Dublin and Rosslare,for landing in Wales.
That also ignores the amount of bidirectional traffic of semi finished goods travelling in both directions across the border for finishing.
Again Mr Dodds needs to start talking to his own constituents
that's the relative scale of brexit pain for NI, from least: customs union,hard border with Ireland, in the backstop. Customs union is unlikely with a conservative government, so the backstop is the most likely outcome for any negotiated deal by a conservative government.
For no pain, he must have wished for brexit to be removed by someone else.
 

tommie

Esteemed Pedelecer
Mar 13, 2013
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the same way MPs in Westminster have to justify their take on brexit when they vote against their constituency. Belfast North narrowly voted for remain but a no deal brexit will lead to job losses. Mr Dodds's last majority may not be so safe.
I can absolutely guarantee you Brexit will not be an issue in the next GE in North Belfast.
Your comments are what i would expect from someone living on the south coast of england, ie clueless on politics here.
 
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Danidl

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Sep 29, 2016
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LOL!! I take it that was a typo,
No typo!!. 2016 statistics were NI to RoI 30% , NI to rest of world (inc. mainland UK) 47%. NI to EU 23%
53 is bigger than 47 .

..Irish times june 21 2018 .... based on NI figures. .There is a nice graphic as well...
"2016, 30 per cent of Northern Ireland’s exports – £2 billion (€2.3 billion) – were sent to the Republic; a much greater percentage than the goods going the other way. Just 1 per cent of the Republic’s exports, worth £1 billion, went to Northern Ireland.

However, England, Scotland and Wales remains Northern Ireland’s single largest primary market for external sales, even though the Republic is its largest export market.

Northern Ireland exported almost twice as much to the Republic as it imported, with businesses making 758,000 cross-Border deliveries southwards in 2016, compared with 410,000 deliveries from the Republic."
 
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Danidl

Esteemed Pedelecer
Sep 29, 2016
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Having looked at the NIRSA website, there does appear to be a large discrepancy, so to correct everything the figures appear to be.
Total sales activity 76
Sales attributed to GB( UK excluding NI) 14
Sales or exports to RoI 4
Sales or exports to rest of EU 2.6
Sales or exports to rest of World. 4.8
All figures for 2016, and in Billions .
These figures are for exports. ..Of course NI cannot export to GB ,being part of the same entity but the concept of flow out still stands.
And the GB figure of 14.1 is much bigger than the combined others at 11.4
When corrected for nett flows , (Exports less Imports ) , the discrepancies are much less. Eg the RoI figure drops to 3 billion ,etc...

One of the statistics on that table is striking and that is the 44 million cross border transitions in any year over tge 15 currently approved routes.
 
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Danidl

Esteemed Pedelecer
Sep 29, 2016
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You should really have stopped reading at that point!

Everyone knows our trade with the ROI is insignificant compared with GB - end of.
Not even open to discussion as the phantom `Irish sea Border` has now evaporated.
What "everybody knows " may be only a half truth.
 
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oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
23,461
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put yourself in place of Mr Nigel Dodds.
What can he do? if he sides with TM, he's possibly putting NI in the backstop.
If he sides with JRM, he'll certainly put a border between the two parts of Ireland.
If he sides with neither, he'll get Corbyn.
His best move is to revert brexit but he can't do that alone.
The least damaging brexit for Mr Dodds is one that has a border with the ROI, most of NI trade is with the UK.
But they've been paid protection money already haven't they? this could ruin their credibility as a reliable "Rent a Majority" organisation.
After all look at the opportunities for handouts if Corbyn gets in with a coalition government, why they could up their charges to £2million a seat!
 
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oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
23,461
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From the Express
"
BREXIT BREAKTHROUGH? Rees-Mogg and Farage rally as Barnier suggests backstop alternative
BREXITEERS have been buoyed by suggestions from Brussels negotiator Michel Barnier that an alternative to the Irish backstop would have to be found in event of a no-deal Brex

The notion is that Dublin will find a way to do checks without an actual border

Watch Mr's Mays deal get voted in now as I predicted.
Suddenly no one will remember things like "Being a rule taker rather than a rule maker" or "Being a Vassal State"
That was so very "Yesterday" now here is a way out on the basis anything is better than Corbyn
And the nation is doomed to years of further incompetent and damaging Tory misrule.
 

oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
14,609
West West Wales
From the Express
"
BREXIT BREAKTHROUGH? Rees-Mogg and Farage rally as Barnier suggests backstop alternative
BREXITEERS have been buoyed by suggestions from Brussels negotiator Michel Barnier that an alternative to the Irish backstop would have to be found in event of a no-deal Brex

The notion is that Dublin will find a way to do checks without an actual border

Watch Mr's Mays deal get voted in now as I predicted.
Suddenly no one will remember things like "Being a rule taker rather than a rule maker" or "Being a Vassal State"
That was so very "Yesterday" now here is a way out on the basis anything is better than Corbyn
And the nation is doomed to years of further incompetent and damaging Tory misrule.
Wait until they hear the details...
 
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
14,609
West West Wales
Hammond:

He said a promise had been made to voters in 2016 that they were choosing a more prosperous future: “Not leaving would be a betrayal, but leaving without a deal would also be a betrayal.”

My head is spinning trying to reconcile what looks to me like a reduction in prosperity from ANY brexit being the fulfilment of the promise of a more prosperous future. I suppose at least it is another statement which suggests no-deal is not a choosable option.
 

oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
23,461
32,613
80
Hammond:

He said a promise had been made to voters in 2016 that they were choosing a more prosperous future: “Not leaving would be a betrayal, but leaving without a deal would also be a betrayal.”

My head is spinning trying to reconcile what looks to me like a reduction in prosperity from ANY brexit being the fulfilment of the promise of a more prosperous future. I suppose at least it is another statement which suggests no-deal is not a choosable option.
That is ony a minor lie compared to the Betrayal of "respecting" an illegally rigged referendum result, and a neat way of perpetuating tory rule without risking an election or legal action against individuals involved in the Referendum Fraud, which can then be conveniently swept under the carpet.
 
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Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
20,340
16,858
Southend on Sea
wooshbikes.co.uk
From the Express
"
BREXIT BREAKTHROUGH? Rees-Mogg and Farage rally as Barnier suggests backstop alternative
BREXITEERS have been buoyed by suggestions from Brussels negotiator Michel Barnier that an alternative to the Irish backstop would have to be found in event of a no-deal Brex

The notion is that Dublin will find a way to do checks without an actual border

Watch Mr's Mays deal get voted in now as I predicted.
Suddenly no one will remember things like "Being a rule taker rather than a rule maker" or "Being a Vassal State"
That was so very "Yesterday" now here is a way out on the basis anything is better than Corbyn
And the nation is doomed to years of further incompetent and damaging Tory misrule.
that why I like JC's current strategy.
A fresh general election will do this country a lot of good.
 

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