As suspected this isn't really a debate is it?
I am willing to forgive the frothing as I can see you are genuinely worried.
The fact is I can't give you any facts as to what will happen in the future.
Sorry about that.
I will say that not much will change in the short term. I'm probably not half your age but I remember well the doom mongers and the gnashing and wailing of teeth when the Y2K bug was going to wipe us out and then if we didn't join the Euro we would be ruined.
The one thing I don't get is the utter devotion to a political union. Europe isn't going anywhere. I get you are worried about Juncker and Barnier but ultimately sense will prevail and these rotweillers will be reined in by their paymasters. Its in their interests to fight for the EU. It's not in the EU's individual states to see their countries lose out. Plus the EU is very much relying on our 40 billion. No deal no dough.
It will all be alright in the end. I sometimes think that is some remainers worst nightmare.
I am not one of the Doom mongers as you put it, and as I have posted many times, not too concerned at the financial aspect either, can I ask what you have against the idea of an EU superstate?
The lesson of history is here on this island where there were several Saxon kingdoms that merged into one.
And Germany that was 29 separate states and Kingdoms
For the Human race to survive forming into larger and larger groups is so obviously the way forward that it is hard to understand what logical reason can exist for thinking that reverting back to a smaller political unit is a good idea.
We may as well go back to the Saxon Kingdoms.
You are I take it joking that the EU can't shrug off the measly £40 Billion?
Look at the Example of German reunification
"This exchange rate made the East German formerly-Communist economy even more noncompetitive than it already was. It is estimated that industrial production in East Germany crashed by 70% between 1989 and 1991. There was an exodus of people, fire-sale privatization of all state assets and huge unemployment.
In order to re-build the East, Germany had to invest several times the amount of money it had gotten under the Marshall Plan. Total cost estimates range from 250 billion EUR at the low end up to 1.2 trillion EUR at the high end, depending on whether one considers only the earmarked "solidarity tax" paid by people in Western Germany or the total amount of money that can credibly be traced to the reunification and rebuilding.
German society accepted this cost, because East and West Germans always saw themselves as one people, no matter the Cold War rhetoric. It went without saying that wages and pension levels should not be significantly different in the East and the West.
They shrugged off more than twenty times the sum you mentioned!
Relying on our £40 Billion? who has been kidding you with that nonsense? it's peanuts against the Scale of EU operations and will amount to a need to modify some projects, but not cancel any.
This notion is typical of the totally fantastic ideas present here about the strength of our bargaining position
And oddly I agree that it will be alright in the end, as inevitably we will be absorbed into the EU, willing or no.
Sadly in a much diminished role as far as influence on affairs go, and in the meantime when they say jump, we will ask "How high?"