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I used to do 30 miles a day on an MTB. I weighed 100kg and it wasn't particularly flat. Travelling at 20 mph, I would use about 290wh on the way there (net downhill) and about 430 on the way back, which is 720. A much lighter rider on a hybrid type bike pedalling steadily, should therefore be able to do it with about 500wh. 40 miles would be about 670wh, and you need a bit of headroom for windy days so I think that means about 17Ah should be enough.
Travelling at 14 mph average, I could get there on about 36wh and return on about 140wh. You can see that speed makes a big difference to battery consumption. If your battery turns out not to have enough capacity for your journey, you can always slow down a bit. 19 mph could probably be done comfortably with a 14Ah battery and 18mph with a 12Ah one. A light bike can always be pedalled easily without power, but it becomes a lot harder with the extra weight of a 48v 17Ah battery.
Travelling at 14 mph average, I could get there on about 36wh and return on about 140wh. You can see that speed makes a big difference to battery consumption. If your battery turns out not to have enough capacity for your journey, you can always slow down a bit. 19 mph could probably be done comfortably with a 14Ah battery and 18mph with a 12Ah one. A light bike can always be pedalled easily without power, but it becomes a lot harder with the extra weight of a 48v 17Ah battery.