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after watching Marr's show today, Scotland seems to be promised a veto and Labour is definitely not keen on brexit. I am beginning to believe that brexit is not going to happen. If the market also does not believe brexit is probable, the Pound should rise next week. to borrow leavers' logic, the...

Peter Hargreaves, top donor to leave.eu, explains his motivation: “It would be the biggest stimulus to get our butts in gear that we have ever had … We will get out there and we will be become incredibly successful because we will be insecure again. And insecurity is fantastic.” so he and a few...

the problem is David Davis is quite clear about what he wants “Post Brexit a UK-German deal would include free access for their cars and industrial goods, in exchange for a deal on everything else. Similar deals would be reached with other key EU nations. France would want to protect £3 billion...

I don't see it that way Tillson. Members are entitled to defend their views, regarless of the result of the referendum or who is the current PM. At present, we are nowhere near the tipping point. PM May has many enemies, a tiny majority in parliament and no mandate, she could go tomorrow or the...

flud, how long do you think May can hold on to power? if the conservative can't form the next goverment on their own, what chance is brexit happening? next to zero.

it's not certain that Ceta is going to be ratified. The EU wants visa free travels to Canada for Bulgarians and Romanians. Canada opposes. One thing that brexiters may not know about Ceta is the secret administrative Court system, similar to TTIP, allowing big businesses to sue governements for...

if I am not mistaken, Ceta rules require the product (eg Brompton bike) to be entirely made in the country (UK) to avoid backdoor assembly and re-export, impossible for a lot of industrial products. Key agricultural products are also excluded. I wonder how far David Davis will go down this model.

Boris and Gove are in no hurry for article 50. I wonder if they knew.

afraid so. I reckon David Davis knows that Ceta won't fly in London, Scotland and NI so he flies this kite first.

market reaction to David Davis article 50 'beginning of 2017' and Ceta is his preferred option - the Pound is dropping all day. I wonder how long before he has to change tack. 42% of the Telegraph's readership don't believe May is going to trigger article 50...

Liam Fox is asking Canada for advice on Ceta. http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/15/uk-canada-advice-post-brexit-trade-deals-eu-ceta

Brendan, Singapore's population is 5.4 millions. Population of UK is 65 millions. 50,000 immigrants into Singapore produce a similar reaction as 600,000 immigrating into the UK.

LU means 'low voltage', the CR3032 coin battery in the LCD needs replacing. You can open the cover for the coin battery compartment with a 20p coin.

Boris is quite capable of redeeming himself and rebuilding bridges with people he previously insulted. brain-wise, he is a 2.1. I reckon he'll got the best job of the three brexiteers.

Hammond is much cleverer than Osborne. Hammond graduated first class in PPE Oxford, Osborne 2.1 in Mordern History. Hammond succeeded in every job he had in the private sector, Osborne could not even succeed in his only career pre politics as a journalist. My money is with Hammond any day. May...

I much like her to spend her time dealing with real issues that affect everyone like sorting out the 24 hours NHS, Trident, HS2, Heathrow 3rd runway, etc and leave brexit in the hands of our trio brexiteers. They'll be busy until end of 2017 to sketch out their plan and then, maybe they'll ask...

you can pray every day if you want, the reality is May's government cannot deliver brexit before the next general election. Will the next government be a brexit one? I doubt it. That's why the risk to foreign investors has somewhat lessened and the Pound recovers a little.

the independent has helpfully compiled a map all the countries Boris Johnson has insulted: 'don't blame colonialism' - Johnson on Africa 2002 http://archive.spectator.co.uk/article/2nd-february-2002/14/cancel-the-guilt-trip

flud, you seem to build your arguments more or less entirely on examples. That's called inductive reasoning.

die hard brexiters want that cannot be delivered by any government.