So, by your reasoning Flecc, what I dont understand is, if theft is driven by a need for money, and low end car models arent worth enough to make it pay stealing them.........why would they want to start stealing loads more bikes ?
Lynda
It's fast but low return and very low risk Lynda, since bikes have no ID at present. It's not "starting stealing" as you say, the theft scale is already immense. Police figure for London alone is well over 20,000 annually, but that is a fraction of the total as they know, since in the main only those insured bother to report the theft to get a crime number for the insurer. Most people don't insure their bikes.
If bikes had ID and a log book, the low return on this large scale theft just wouldn't pay, since such things as log book forging and numberplate swapping etc would have to be undertaken and the risks of being caught would be much higher as well. At the moment theft and disposal is just too easy.
I've based all this on the facts, the rebuttals that I've received are mostly fanciful. Bikes shipped out to Africa for example? No chance, there are charities already sending them there free so no profit in that. In addition Africans don't like our bikes, for their purposes they ride ride all steel rigid bikes imported from India at such low prices that theft shipments from here wouldn't be worth it anyway.
Stripping and reassembling as "bitsas" is equally fanciful, bitsas aren't worth anything, especially in a market where the stolen bike prices sold to middlemen are already very low. The scale of this theft is such that it's not a matter of selling odd ones in pubs, there's well organised selling chains with the bikes ending up bought by respectable buyers. With two or more in the selling chain the gains are very low at each stage, relying on volume to pay. My solution is to take the volume out and make theft processing much more costly, so no longer worthwhile.
Thieves move on to something else when something gets too difficult. When cars were very easy to steal they were a favourite. VIN and laser keys made that too tough for most, so motorcycles were lifted with vans. Better VIN ID in those, plus owners fitting alarms made that much tougher, so the growth in cycling made that more attractive, resulting in the theft boom now. Now we need to make that much more difficult.