Brexit, for once some facts.

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
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Yes - but I was just being juvenile smutty.
I knew, but was nonetheless interested in how the media reacted to it.

OTT was the answer.

Enough of this sort of news and it might even penetrate the Tory Party membership.
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jonathan.agnew

Esteemed Pedelecer
Dec 27, 2018
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The astonishing thing is how long that took. I had Johnson accurately summed up from very early in this millennium.

He isn't right or left wing, he isn't anything other than being in Boris Johnson's interests, uniquely selfish.

As I've posted many times, a sad apology for a human being.
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Wonder how the piglet will make it to the Lords if this happen?
 
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
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Wonder how the piglet will make it to the Lords if this happen?
Certainly hope it does happen (and on good evidence so that it is pretty much incontrovertible).

And that he stands for re-election and fails by a large, nay huge, margin.

Icing would be his standing but being rejected by the tories so being some sort of tory independent. And, of course, another party winning - Labour would be fine.
 

jonathan.agnew

Esteemed Pedelecer
Dec 27, 2018
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I don't see Johnson as House of Lords material, it's a place where there are still some high standards maintained by most members.
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As controversial premise go that's right up there with "Justin Bieber deserve more credit for his music"
 

Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
20,344
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wooshbikes.co.uk
I watched Newsnight interviewing Prof Patrick Minford last night.
How on earth is he still teaching applied economics at Cardiff university.
There are of course few options in economics that have only advantages and no disadvantages but it's very hard trying to follow his arguments. He said we should still borrow to cut taxes because reducing taxes improves supply side. He never mentioned the effect of cutting taxes on the demand side.
On the panel, there was also Ros Altmann who played the undecided conservative voter. Altmann supported Mordaunt. I found that Mordaunt's plan to concentrate on cutting the cost of fuel is the most intelligent of the final 3. Fuel cost accounts for about 2% of the 9% inflation rate. If I were Sunak, I should do my best to have Mordaunt on board.
 
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flecc

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Oct 25, 2006
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I found that Mordaunt's plan to concentrate on cutting the cost of fuel is the most intelligent of the final 3. Fuel cost accounts for about 2% of the 9% inflation rate. If I were Sunak, I should do my best to have Mordaunt on board.
Sunak as PM and Mordaunt as his Chancellor, that would be fun.

I fear though that the nation is about to be trussed up.
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
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I watched Newsnight interviewing Prof Patrick Minford last night.
How on earth is he still teaching applied economics at Cardiff university.
There are of course few options in economics that have only advantages and no disadvantages but it's very hard trying to follow his arguments. He said we should still borrow to cut taxes because reducing taxes improves supply side. He never mentioned the effect of cutting taxes on the demand side.
On the panel, there was also Ros Altmann who played the undecided conservative voter. Altmann supported Mordaunt. I found that Mordaunt's plan to concentrate on cutting the cost of fuel is the most intelligent of the final 3. Fuel cost accounts for about 2% of the 9% inflation rate. If I were Sunak, I should do my best to have Mordaunt on board.
He appears to entirely miss large chunks or what could be called reality:

High border costs are assumed for the processing of customs declarations,
rules of origin certificates, and goods inspections. This reflects a lack of
understanding of how modern computerised, pre-declared border procedures
work
• Typical actual costs of modern procedures are well below 1 per cent and the
Swiss customs authority reports costs of 0.1 per cent
• Inspections are intelligence-led and a rarity (typically only 1
to 3 percent of shipments). They often require only confirmation of
computerised documentation and can take place away from the border.
These Treasury-assumed but unrealistic costs across goods and services give
rise to a loss of 1.8% of GDP from border costs introduced on EU trade

Border costs to small companies are so great that few truly small companies can continue to sell into the EU.

Costs for medicines have risen substantially due to our leaving the EMA. Some medicines which are widely available in the UK, to the benefit of many patients, are not available here. I suppose health and well-being are externalities about which he cares not at all. Except if he actually looked at the economic cost of worse health. Which he doesn't.

He argues about substitutability and seems to imply that there is next to no difference between our trade with Australia or Canada and that with France of Germany. Seemingly missing the thousands of miles of additional transport implied - with both financial and "green" costs - as well as time from order to delivery.
 
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flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
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As controversial premise go that's right up there with "Justin Bieber deserve more credit for his music"
I did say "some" high standards. At no time does debate in the Lords remotely deteriorate to the lows of the Commons. Johnson's shouted bluster and pomposity would get short shrift in the Lords.

As for other behavioural areas, most of the Lords are pretty good at simulation, so long as their expense claims aren't checked.
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Woosh

Trade Member
May 19, 2012
20,344
16,860
Southend on Sea
wooshbikes.co.uk
Border costs to small companies are so great that few truly small companies can continue to sell into the EU.
EU membership saves a great deal of fees for small export orders taken on my website.
Since 1/1/2021, if I want to sell to the EU, I have to use amazon or ebay.
You avoid border costs that way but have to pay paypal fees and amazon/ebay fees, about 15% in total on average. That's why I stopped selling into the EU.
 
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
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As controversial premise go that's right up there with "Justin Bieber deserve more credit for his music"
Since his public discussion about Ramsay Hunt syndrome, I was actually quite impressed by him. (Before that, he was just a name that I ignored in the media.) I feel lucky my shingles mostly stopped just below my ear (though there was an area of scalp above my ear that was affected). If it were higher up, the consequences can be considerably worse.

Ramsay Hunt syndrome is a painful rash around the ear, on the face, or on the mouth. It occurs when the varicella-zoster virus infects a nerve in the head.
 

oyster

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Yesterday went for a longer trip than usual and kept our eyes open for petrol prices. Simply maintaining awareness further afield than our usual forecourts.

Astonished to see petrol at 179.9 at every single forecourt. Bar one - at 189.9.

This included some which we have come to regard as ones to avoid because they have always been several pence a litre more expensive.

Just the other day, the standard price seemed to be 183.9. It almost felt as if the government had issued a price edict.
 

oyster

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I don't blame them:

EU launches new legal proceedings against UK over Northern Ireland protocol – UK politics live
European Commission also criticises ‘UK’s unwillingness to engage in meaningful discussion’ with regards to joint solutions
 
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flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,163
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Yesterday went for a longer trip than usual and kept our eyes open for petrol prices. Simply maintaining awareness further afield than our usual forecourts.

Astonished to see petrol at 179.9 at every single forecourt. Bar one - at 189.9.

This included some which we have come to regard as ones to avoid because they have always been several pence a litre more expensive.

Just the other day, the standard price seemed to be 183.9. It almost felt as if the government had issued a price edict.
Only yesterday I listened to a 27th June edition of the radio program "Bottom Line" titled "How to run a petrol station".

It was largely about the present situation and it appears the old price war days are over, it being more about watching everyone else and price matching. It's difficult to do much else when they only know the price they must pay their oil company that day first thing each morning.

These days it's more about their food business, which has to be larger than the fuel income to maintain the alcohol licence many have now.

Here's the Link to the i-player program if you want to listen.
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GLJoe

Esteemed Pedelecer
May 21, 2017
853
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UK
Since his public discussion about Ramsay Hunt syndrome, I was actually quite impressed by him. (Before that, he was just a name that I ignored in the media.) I feel lucky my shingles mostly stopped just below my ear
This guy provides some data and maths to claim its 99% certain Bieber's issues are caused by the vaccine:

https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/the-cause-of-justin-biebers-facial?s=w

Personally, I'm unsure of the claim. Can anyone see a flaw in his arguments?

(and for Oyster, while I haven't clicked on them, there seem to be a number of links in that URL that discuss the Shingles issue)
 
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
14,609
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Only yesterday I listened to a 27th June edition of the radio program "Bottom Line" titled "How to run a petrol station".

It was largely about the present situation and it appears the old price war days are over, it being more about watching everyone else and price matching. It's difficult to do much else when they only know the price they must pay their oil company that day first thing each morning.

These days it's more about their food business, which has to be larger than the fuel income to maintain the alcohol licence many have now.

Here's the Link to the i-player program if you want to listen.
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Had a listen - which was quite interesting.

Am still amazed at the consistency of the pricing we saw yesterday. I'd known that no-one wanted to break £2 for diesel which was a very obvious issue.

I find the price matching a very mixed blessing. Tesco here and Milford Haven are always more expensive than Tesco at Pembroke Dock. It really sticks in the gullet to know that it might save money to drive to Pembroke Dock and back. Indeed, usually go past Tesco to Asda who are often a tiny bit less expensive still. But not desirable as a behaviour - we do so when we need to go anyway.
 
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
14,609
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This guy provides some data and maths to claim its 99% certain Bieber's issues are caused by the vaccine:

https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/the-cause-of-justin-biebers-facial?s=w

Personally, I'm unsure of the claim. Can anyone see a flaw in his arguments?

(and for Oyster, while I haven't clicked on them, there seem to be a number of links in that URL that discuss the Shingles issue)
I have become more and more convinced that my shingles, hence my postherpetic neuralgia, were due to Pfizer vaccine.

Partner thought that from the start.

Mine was a particularly serious, heavy case. Not as widespread as some, but in all my searches, I have not seen worse blistering anywhere. With the Bieber experience, I feel very lucky that it stopped (mostly) where it did.

That BMJ article identifies cases at 47 and 51 days after vaccination. Mine was about 30 days. But most reports are around a week or so.

A while after the shingles, I had pericarditis - another issue which is usually viral. And also quite unpleasant. (As soon as I lay in bed, I felt I couldn't breathe. Had to prop myself up to get any sleep.)

Anyone see Hannah Fry and Unvaccinated the other day?

Despite my (possible) shingles, the anti-vaxxers were aggressive, seemed to care more about being angry than right, and in some regards utterly stupid. If offered another vaccination as a booster, I shall say no for myself.

Though I don't entirely dismiss the possibility of some future vaccination, a re-re-activation of herpes zoster is something I desperately don't want.
 
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Danidl

Esteemed Pedelecer
Sep 29, 2016
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Since his public discussion about Ramsay Hunt syndrome, I was actually quite impressed by him. (Before that, he was just a name that I ignored in the media.) I feel lucky my shingles mostly stopped just below my ear (though there was an area of scalp above my ear that was affected). If it were higher up, the consequences can be considerably worse.

Ramsay Hunt syndrome is a painful rash around the ear, on the face, or on the mouth. It occurs when the varicella-zoster virus infects a nerve in the head.
An uncle of mine did get shingles on the side of the face and into the optic nerve ... It blinded him permanently on that eye for the remainder of his life.
 
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oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
14,609
West West Wales
An uncle of mine did get shingles on the side of the face and into the optic nerve ... It blinded him permanently on that eye for the remainder of his life.
I've been aware of that possibility for some time. When I felt it on my scalp, above my left ear, I was concerned. But it never really developed like it did lower down.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,163
30,580
If offered another vaccination as a booster, I shall say no for myself.

Though I don't entirely dismiss the possibility of some future vaccination, a re-re-activation of herpes zoster is something I desperately don't want.
I have already said no for myself to a repeat of the current booster, since I really do not want to suffer a repeat of the 15 often painful tachycardia heart attacks the booster caused over an extended period. A side effect for those vulnerable like myself that Pfizer knew about but hushed up.
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