may be until the autumn.How long do we think TM has got, are we talking about days or hours?
Right back at the beginning... Get a widespread agreement, cross-party, before A50. Before 2017 GE!Could TM have done better?
May’s grave mistake | The Spectator
The European elections were a gift for Britain’s two new political parties, Change UK and the Brexit party. But only the latter seized the opportunity. Change UK have had myriad problems. They have been unable to settle on a name and a logo. Their MPs, exiles from the two main parties, have...www.spectator.co.uk
Extract:
May made a grave mistake in not resisting Yvette Cooper and Oliver Letwin’s anti no-deal legislation more fiercely. It has fatally compromised her ability to push her own deal through. As one cabinet minister puts it: ‘The only point of leverage is when you have a deadline and there isn’t a deadline at the moment.’ If the choice had been between leaving with no deal and leaving with May’s deal on 29 March, parliament would have taken the deal.
Last I heard she had done her back in, pushing the sofa in 10 Downing Street up against the front door.Have we still got a PM?
It is deeply questionable whether anyone should become PM just because they win whatever internal process the tories use.Can Boris do it?
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/05/only-boris-can-bury-brexit/
quote:
A new British prime minister, having visited the Queen to check in, and having during the course of leadership elections vowed to get a better deal from Brussels on pain of leaving without a deal, will have to hotfoot it to Brussels — and will have to return more or less empty-handed.
Such a PM will then be under enormous pressure to try to get the United Kingdom out of the EU with no deal or (more likely) a ‘managed’ no deal. At this point, both Houses of Parliament will awake from their fitful slumber and stop this happening.
The bind our PM will be in is as simple as it will be cruel. He or she will have promised the electorate something that she or he is quite unable to deliver. Nor will this PM be able to blame any unforeseen circumstance, any act of God or man, for impasse reached, as the whole thing has been horribly clear for years now. It will be fess-up time — though of course the speech required can be larded with references to what awful monsters the EU are, etc, etc, actually sticking to their guns and doing what they always said they’d do, the cheating rotters.
Now look at the likely candidates on offer for the Tory leadership, and try, in each case, to imagine each one’s attempt to carry off this huge rhetorical challenge.
The speechwriter’s brief? To explain why Her Majesty’s Government has decided to revoke our Article 50 notification and return to the drawing board to consider Brexit anew, without pressure of pesky EU-imposed deadlines.
I think Boris could do it. ‘Brazen’ is his middle name. Mr Johnson could infuse a humiliating retreat with the spirit of Dunkirk as, under heavy enemy shelling, our little boats bring back the British negotiating team from foreign shores. ‘Reculer pour mieux sauter, my friends,’ he’d cry — ‘or, as they say in France, “Rip it up and start again.”’
In normal democracies, a candidate is proposed by the house ,and gets voted on. If the majority of the house agree, that person goes to their Head of State and gets issued with a seal of office . But if the vote is not a majority, they don't go,and if the Parliament cannot agree, the Head of State dissoves that Parliament and there is a General Election.It is deeply questionable whether anyone should become PM just because they win whatever internal process the tories use.
Especially if:
On Wednesday, YouGov put the Tories on a stunningly low 7%.
A perfect summing up of the true position.Can Boris do it?
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/05/only-boris-can-bury-brexit/
quote:
A new British prime minister, having visited the Queen to check in, and having during the course of leadership elections vowed to get a better deal from Brussels on pain of leaving without a deal, will have to hotfoot it to Brussels — and will have to return more or less empty-handed.
Such a PM will then be under enormous pressure to try to get the United Kingdom out of the EU with no deal or (more likely) a ‘managed’ no deal. At this point, both Houses of Parliament will awake from their fitful slumber and stop this happening.
The bind our PM will be in is as simple as it will be cruel. He or she will have promised the electorate something that she or he is quite unable to deliver. Nor will this PM be able to blame any unforeseen circumstance, any act of God or man, for impasse reached, as the whole thing has been horribly clear for years now. It will be fess-up time — though of course the speech required can be larded with references to what awful monsters the EU are, etc, etc, actually sticking to their guns and doing what they always said they’d do, the cheating rotters.
Now look at the likely candidates on offer for the Tory leadership, and try, in each case, to imagine each one’s attempt to carry off this huge rhetorical challenge.
The speechwriter’s brief? To explain why Her Majesty’s Government has decided to revoke our Article 50 notification and return to the drawing board to consider Brexit anew, without pressure of pesky EU-imposed deadlines.
I think Boris could do it. ‘Brazen’ is his middle name. Mr Johnson could infuse a humiliating retreat with the spirit of Dunkirk as, under heavy enemy shelling, our little boats bring back the British negotiating team from foreign shores. ‘Reculer pour mieux sauter, my friends,’ he’d cry — ‘or, as they say in France, “Rip it up and start again.”’
She scarcely had any other option, the resignation of Andrea Leadsom forced that. She is the Leader of the House and was due to present May's deal again.TM pulled her WAB scheduled for tomorrow.
I went to vote lib Dems, just me there!we went out to vote this morning. The hall was unusually empty, we were the only 2 beside the officials.
Latest poll:
Source: Kantar
- Brexit Party (27.4%)
- Labour (23.5%)
- Liberal Democrats (14.5%)
- Conservatives (12.9%)
- Greens (7.7%)
- Change UK (5.4%)
- Others inc. SNP/PC and UKIP (8.7%)
we went out to vote this morning. The hall was unusually empty, we were the only 2 beside the officials.
Similar for me, all alone there as a voter on this 3000 home estate. In fact the three officials were deeply engrossed in a discussion when I entered, showing how bored they were.I went to vote lib Dems, just me there!
I wonder what the turnout will be?
the BXP may be in for a surprise.If our examples are typical it will be a very low turnout.
Haven't been yet - will be going after dinner.I went to vote lib Dems, just me there!
I wonder what the turnout will be?