UKIP are finished, The only way to judge would have been if the Brexit party had stood,I’m just looking t the election results for my local council. We were a leave area in the referendum. In several of the wards, a UKIP (Make Brexit Happen) candidate stood. They received very few votes. I thought that was interesting because it is somewhere you can put your cross knowing that you are definitely registering a vote to leave, and not many people did it. Could this indicate a shift towards remain?
The other main party boxes were a vote for the unknown. Unlike the UKIP option, there was nowhere to definitely register a remain vote, so that may have distorted things.
The EU elections will be a better guide. I noticed in one of my local wards the number
of spoiled ballots would have tipped the balance of the result.
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