Brexit, for once some facts.

PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
We can agree on one thing.. it's an awful analogy. Perhaps I could extend it...and make it far worser

The 28 are in the bar, buying rounds etc, one of the group is boorish, but in a bid to curry favour paid the taxi fare for a few of the others to get there. When the evening does not go to plan, he storms out, despite having promised to pay for those few taxis.
Even worse perhaps.. 28 guys in a Bar, three or four of them are buying the drinks, the rest happily getting sloshed - one of the buyers want's to go home. The rest carry on drinking for the next ten years having extracted the bar bill from the guy that went home. Not all 27 make it to ten years for one reason or another.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,152
30,567
since the enlargement in 2004 when 10 new countries join the EU: Czech Republic, Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia, I think the EU promised far too much to these countries against future increases in trade and prosperity of existing members to pay for their integration.
Hardly a fair judgement. The Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Slovenia have been making larger profits for richer EU countries as cheap manufacturing centres, particularly for cars.

Slovakia for example with only 5 millions population produce well over 1 million cars a year. If the UK did the same, we'd be making well over 13 million cars a year instead of our 2 million.

You need to reassess who is supporting who in the EU, instead of relying on Brexit myths and fantasies.
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PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
If only that were true! The tory party which has for decades prided itself on good husbandry of the public purse had nearly all of the 20th century and a few years of the 21st to demonstrate their economic acumen. They have singularly failed to do so. Indeed, quite the opposite is true!

Unless something dramatic has occurred since I began to type this, that selfsame party has repeatedly failed to demonstrate in any way, shape or form how the economics of secession from the EU will benefit the taxpayers of the UK. Remember that the government is charged with using the public purse for the benefit of the taxpaying public.

Is there some measure by which everyone can judge when we are benefitting from 'good economics'? Those tables I posted seem to suggest that the tory party notion of good economics differs hugely from any indicators I have ever seen.

Tom
That's as good a generalisation as saying that each Tory Government is followed by one that spends more than we have. Incoming Tory Government clears the debt, creates a surplus only to be succeeded by another lot who spend, spend, spend until they get kicked out. Incoming Tories inherit an almighty deficit from the preceding lot... and on it goes. It always takes longer to clear the debt than it does to create one and the 'people' a). don't like the pain and b). eventually believe that anything is better than this (the pain) and the whole cycle starts over again.
 

PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
Hardly a fair judgement. The Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Slovenia have been making larger profits for richer EU countries as cheap manufacturing centres, particularly for cars.

Slovakia for example with only 5 millions population produce well over 1 million cars a year. If the UK did the same, we'd be making well over 13 million cars a year instead of our 2 million.

You need to reassess who is supporting who in the EU, instead of relying on Brexit myths and fantasies.
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So what happens when the likes of Slovakia have acquired the skills to make their own cars and retain the profits?
 

PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
They get richer and pay higher EU dues of course.

Where's the problem in that?
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Absolutely nothing in a post-brexit world. But how would the EU cope with true free-trade. As it stands it is simply bringing everyone down to an equal level. It will be down of course in an internal market.
 

Kudoscycles

Official Trade Member
Apr 15, 2011
5,566
5,048
www.kudoscycles.com
Let's face it, there is no other logical reason for the government to be keen on brexit than they they see some advantage in it,
And who can possibly believe that they have the well-being of the public at heart?
It is for whatever reason the ultimate mugging of the public.

Sent from my XT1032 using Tapatalk
The Tories including Theresa May are being controlled by 80 (maybe only 50) hard right members.....we know who they are....Rees-Mogg,Bone,IDS,Redwood.....note I don't include Boris,he will change sides to who seems the winner.
The 'bastards' as Cameron called them don't want to be in the limelight,they are happy to control May and steer her....look at how aggressive May reacted to the Labour lady who accused her of being a right wing puppet....her reaction 'you don't realise how wrong you are' .Which suggests to me that May is constantly battling against the pressure from the right wingers.
What intrigues me is what is the pressure that these MPs can exert ? It must be considerable because Cameron buckled under the pressure,which caused him to call the referendum in the first place.
What also intrigues me is the stupidity of so many Leave voters who are letting these right wingers steer our country to a position which will only benefit the very rich and yet they see Brexit as a mechanism that will lift their current poor lifestyle.
The 'bastards' seem willing to let our country go down the pan as long as their selfish agenda is achieved,they seem to want to take us back to their halcyon days of the 1930's.
It's about time May got strong and told us what pressure these right wingers are exerting upon her,assuming she is not part of the club,and stood up for our country rather than her personal situation. She could do that by announcing a second referendum.
KudosDave
 

Kudoscycles

Official Trade Member
Apr 15, 2011
5,566
5,048
www.kudoscycles.com
It does in my book, but hard to quantify of course. A bit like a cash-flow projection is never a certainty. There are no certainties here, not for either side, it all comes down to a fundamental belief in what the future holds. Do we go straight on or do we change course?
Tell us,how does Brexit make economic sense?
KudosDave
 

Zlatan

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 26, 2016
8,086
4,290
Hardly a fair judgement. The Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Slovenia have been making larger profits for richer EU countries as cheap manufacturing centres, particularly for cars.

Slovakia for example with only 5 millions population produce well over 1 million cars a year. If the UK did the same, we'd be making well over 13 million cars a year instead of our 2 million.

You need to reassess who is supporting who in the EU, instead of relying on Brexit myths and fantasies.
.
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So the major players in EU are utilising cheap labour in minor ones and in.mean time making massive profits out of the workers. Is that part of your EU social caring flecc ? You should ask yourself why those areas were targeted and then ask yourself why cost of living is what it is across the various states in EU. There is a lot of economic posturing and planning across eu to keep lower paid ( and migrants?) away from certain areas and jobs. Yes, in theory anybody can live anywhere, in reality that is far from the case. There is an expanding economic divide across the EU. Investigate exactly where you could move to...not in theory...but I practice. I,ll bet my last pound sterling you will not be rubbing shoulders with the likes of Junker or Barnier...( but fair point neither will you with Cameron etal) Its made out the EU is some caring socially minded superstate. Look around flecc. It is not..it is equally as bad as the groups you ,Tom and OG despise. Its probably worse, at least Cameron and Osborne don't pretend to be socialists.
 
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PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
Tell us,how does Brexit make economic sense?
KudosDave
Economic sense or economic argument - would you listen or simply pour scorn? - is there any point to this, why do you ask? It should be obvious to anyone what the arguments are, from both sides. That doesn't make either of us right - does it? Or wrong either come to that, but we all have our viewpoint. The real interesting bit is where and what formed those views?
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,152
30,567
Absolutely nothing in a post-brexit world. But how would the EU cope with true free-trade. As it stands it is simply bringing everyone down to an equal level. It will be down of course in an internal market.
Not so. Having shown how life has got better for half the countries that Woosh quoted, you tentatively agreed with the proposal of one doing even better by wholely making their own cars.

All of which shows the EU is working to improve life for the newer entrants who are willing to improve their lot. Brexiters should stop obsessing about those like Greece and Spain who are too corrupt and incompetent to seize the opportunity they were given by the EU. Eventually they will improve or be dumped. Meanwhile they aren't numerous or large enough singly or together to bring down the EU, or even appreciably harm it.
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PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
So the major players in EU are utilising cheap labour in minor ones and in.mean time making massive profits out of the workers. Is that part of your EU social caring flecc ?
Let me add to that. When to tide turns and the richer countries find themselves exporting less and less and have less money in their pockets... what happens then to the EU dream?
 
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PeterL

Esteemed Pedelecer
Aug 19, 2017
998
172
Dundee
Not so. Having shown how life has got better for half the countries that Woosh quoted, you tentatively agreed with the proposal of one doing even better by wholely making their own cars.

Meanwhile they aren't numerous or large enough singly or together to bring down the EU, or even appreciably harm it.
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I do agree, absolutely and I think I said that in reply to Woosh? There's an element of pyramid selling in all of this and as with all such schemes they come to an end at some point in the future. There is only the one market in the EU although I concede that the poorer countries will be buying more cars, that's what allows this to begin.

All of which shows the EU is working to improve life for the newer entrants who are willing to improve their lot.
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Sounds a lot like Conservative policy to me
 
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oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
23,461
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It does in my book, but hard to quantify of course. A bit like a cash-flow projection is never a certainty. There are no certainties here, not for either side, it all comes down to a fundamental belief in what the future holds. Do we go straight on or do we change course?
Or drive deliberately over a cliff edge on the basis of a Bet?
What kind of logic is that?
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,152
30,567
So the major players in EU are utilising cheap labour in minor ones and in.mean time making massive profits out of the workers. Is that part of your EU social caring flecc ?
You carefully ignored this prior answer. It's the stepping stone, the opportunity to improve their lot which most have successfully seized. Just look at how much their wages have risen since joining the EU. But I doubt you will, like most Brexiters you hate the truth.
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oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
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This is probably one of the best points made yet. Not so sure it could be seen as a good investment but that is essentially what we are being asked to do. - albeit without any chance of a return, irrespective of whether or not the EU comes good. If we do pay the suggested divorce bill then we should surely have a stake in any future returns, equally be able to 'sell' our share back to the EU, assuming they would want to buy.
You are entirely missing the point deliberately, as we will have a stake in the returns if we achieve a trade agreement.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,152
30,567
There's an element of pyramid selling in all of this and as with all such schemes they come to an end at some point in the future.
If there was any truth in this, there would never have been improvement in life for any of us. We grow and enrich each other through progress.
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oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
23,461
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That's as good a generalisation as saying that each Tory Government is followed by one that spends more than we have. Incoming Tory Government clears the debt, creates a surplus only to be succeeded by another lot who spend, spend, spend until they get kicked out. Incoming Tories inherit an almighty deficit from the preceding lot... and on it goes. It always takes longer to clear the debt than it does to create one and the 'people' a). don't like the pain and b). eventually believe that anything is better than this (the pain) and the whole cycle starts over again.
lovely Urban mths you are peddling there. Brown was running a surplus till the bankers cocked everything up and these present clowns are driving us further into debt after it was necessary to bail them out.
Tories inherited "an almighty deficit from the BANKERS
And since new labour were in fact employing Conservative economic policies, just what point are you tring to make?
Unless it is the obvious one that no matter who employs Conservative policies, they will still fail, and punish the public as they do.
 
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Danidl

Esteemed Pedelecer
Sep 29, 2016
8,611
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So the major players in EU are utilising cheap labour in minor ones and in.mean time making massive profits out of the workers. Is that part of your EU social caring flecc ?
Poland is not a minor player, Czech republic was always the power house of quality manufacture in the Iron Curtain days. The key point rather should be how much new infrastructure are these countries gaining, how much new technology are they picking up, how more prosperous are their people becoming. The shareholders of the German and French companies are happier, more money is going into their pension funds, as their populations age. This is a win, win, win situation. Zathlan you are continuing to confuse the social responsibilities of the EU as an organisation, which has promoted fair trading, fairer work practices and better educational opportunities in all the member states, with the role of private enterprise.
But and this is a major but, the social engagement is limited by what the member nation is prepared to accept. It is a carrot and stick. The stick , which is the ECJ is available only when a state refuses to something they had already agreed to implement. The carrot in the form of grants and subsidies, is when they undertake a voluntary activity ... Such as ERASMUS programmes. Compare and contrast the number of projects in UK provinces and in other European countries with which you may be familiar , where there is 1. An EU flag and 2 a plaque saying this project was supported by... EU programme xxxxx.
 
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