Ahh yes, of course if it's mandatory then every cycle SHOULD have a number plate, any without are immediately suspicious and should be stopped by the police or reported.There's evidence that a large proportion of bike thefts are just those you mention at the outset. For example, bikes are an obvious target for such as drug users who need to feed daily habits, and our cities have them by the thousand.
As observed, bikes and even e-bikes are too low a value for professional thieves, shipping abroad and the like. We already know that in the car field they have to concentrate on high end cars, the average hatchback isn't worth enough, so bikes certainly won't be. Likewise cloning and false number plates, the cost too high for the returns. Remember, thieves need quick returns so sell low, even high end bikes could only fetch much smaller amounts than their true value.
Breaking for parts is a very small part of the problem, indeed it's tiny since it only affects high end stuff, and I don't claim a universal panacea. I'm just concerned with the main problem, theft of whole bikes by the sort of individuals mentioned and small gangs, both looking for quick returns. This would crack that problem.
Security marking is a dead duck, practically useless. The police have shown no competence in using it and anyway, it does not identify a bike visually or readily show who the owner is. In contrast, the police love ANPR and use it profusely, and it would apply to bikes as well if Swansea administered. A reported-as-stolen bike would immediately be detected from a police vehicle, or if the plate is registered to a black Kalkhoff as shown on screen but on a blue bike that turns out to be another make, again spottable.
The objections mainly seem to be that what I propose doesn't cover everything so is not perfect, but nothing is anyway, so basically that's an argument that we should all just give up and do nothing.
I'm confident that the bulk of the problem of whole bike theft would disappear, and insurance costs would drop as a result.
The only downside I can see is that at some stage compulsory third party insurance could be introduced, but I don't see that as a problem. Those with decent bikes often insure, third party cover is wise anyway, and the costs would be very low since the third party risks of a no-passenger low speed vehicle are very low indeed.
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ANPR may not work due to the automatic nature of recognising the plate, the police would probably need to manually input the numbers.
Insurance would be a sticking point, arguably there would be less need for insurance due to less stolen bikes. I own expensive bikes and don't insure them, my risk, I accept that risk and take care of my stuff accordingly, I would resent compulsory insurance to be introduced when I have little interest in it, unless it was cheap enough. The insurance companies would just see another cash cow in the making given the number of cycles in existence.
The size of plate could be an issue, amongst all the other crap that hangs off the rear of my bikes and what happens when mountain biking and it simply falls off or is ripped off? I've lost lights in this manner and not even noticed!! The weight weenies wouldn't be too happy either!
Insurance would be my only other objection as long as the cost of registering a bike, once, or on transfer of ownership was cheap enough also.
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