EV's are here to stay, the infrastructure is where the problem lies, when it is easy to 'fill up' at the local charging station, just minutes in most cases from the home, this is when the majority will be able to choose EV's, and this will happen given time. The infrastructure is still in it's infancy at present but they are getting there, some considerable way to go yet, but it will happen.
The position is far worse that I thought at one time, so I can't see battery EVs becoming a majority of cars within any foreseeable future.
Only some 70% of car owners have offstreet parking and a large proportion of that parking is detached from their home with no acceptable cost electricity supply possible. Those with the offstreet parking next to their homes are more likely to be outside of cities and large towns and more likely to do longer journeys in consequence. That means a higher proportion of them would not be able to accept battery EV limitations.
Public charging units are mostly far too slow, taking 4 to 15 hours, so only one on the doorstep is acceptable. No-one is going to install anything approaching a street charger per household and in any case, spaces cannot be reserved for individuals on roads which are a public facility
The fast chargers take half an hour, or more for the latest larger batteries and these only to an 80% charge. Even that is too slow, I for one would not be prepared to kick my heels for 30 or more minutes every day or every other day to recharge away from home. Many today are already time short and an 80% charge narrows still further the range of people who could cope with a battery EV's range limitations.
And as Trex infers, the national infrastructure is hardly likely to be in place at a time when we are in danger of falling short on present requirements for generation.
I wish none of this were true, but at present the only hope of escaping ic cars lies in some completely new as yet unavailable technology.
The fact is the ic car is just far too convenient and highly developed. With the constant new finds already ensuring ample oil for well over a half century into the future, things are heavily stacked against change in a foreseeable time frame.
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