Brexit, for once some facts.

Barry Shittpeas

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Jan 1, 2020
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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) in Seattle predicts 66,000 UK deaths from Covid-19 by August, with a peak of nearly 3,000 a day, based on a steep climb in daily deaths early in the outbreak.

If this prediction comes even close to being correct (no idea how likely that is) then do you folks think the Government would be able to spin their way out of it? Even with the support of most of the press I doubt that they could.

I really hope we don't get anywhere near these figures and hope we keep below the 20,000 which I think is still what the Government is predicting.

I think the public have chosen 66K deaths.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,200
30,603
Those of you who responded with kindness to my post about my brother being rushed into Poole General Hospital on Monday, semi conscious as a possible Covid 19 victim may wish to know the outcome.

He died at 2pm.

This was expected since he was 87 with serious underlying health issues which were already limiting his remaining life span and severely damaging his quality of life. In view of the ongoing corona issues we are having him cremated and the funeral for himself that he had already arranged and paid for will be deferred until next year to allow relatives and friends to travel to Dorset.
.
 

oldgroaner

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Nov 15, 2015
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Those of you who responded with kindness to my post about my brother being rushed into Poole General Hospital on Monday, semi conscious as a possible Covid 19 victim may wish to know the outcome.

He died at 2pm.

This was expected since he was 87 with serious underlying health issues which were already limiting his remaining life span and severely damaging his quality of life. In view of the ongoing corona issues we are having him cremated and the funeral for himself that he had already arranged and paid for will be deferred until next year to allow relatives and friends to travel to Dorset.
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Sincere Condolences Flecc a very sad day indeed for you and all the family.
 

oldgroaner

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Nov 15, 2015
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The next real worry is if the Public in London take fright and evacuate en- masse
If they do, steep fines won't stop them, this is a situation that has the potential to turn into a nightmare.

We are in dire need of charismatic leadership from the Government.
Someone had better go and beat a tattoo on Drake's drum.
 

Barry Shittpeas

Esteemed Pedelecer
Jan 1, 2020
2,325
3,210
Those of you who responded with kindness to my post about my brother being rushed into Poole General Hospital on Monday, semi conscious as a possible Covid 19 victim may wish to know the outcome.

He died at 2pm.

This was expected since he was 87 with serious underlying health issues which were already limiting his remaining life span and severely damaging his quality of life. In view of the ongoing corona issues we are having him cremated and the funeral for himself that he had already arranged and paid for will be deferred until next year to allow relatives and friends to travel to Dorset.
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Condolences to you flecc. I have been wondering about your brother’s health since you mentioned his situation. I hope you are ok.
 

oyster

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 7, 2017
10,422
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West West Wales
Those of you who responded with kindness to my post about my brother being rushed into Poole General Hospital on Monday, semi conscious as a possible Covid 19 victim may wish to know the outcome.

He died at 2pm.

This was expected since he was 87 with serious underlying health issues which were already limiting his remaining life span and severely damaging his quality of life. In view of the ongoing corona issues we are having him cremated and the funeral for himself that he had already arranged and paid for will be deferred until next year to allow relatives and friends to travel to Dorset.
.
Thank you for letting us know.

It's tough not even being able to hold the funeral.
 

Barry Shittpeas

Esteemed Pedelecer
Jan 1, 2020
2,325
3,210
The next real worry is if the Public in London take fright and evacuate en- masse
If they do, steep fines won't stop them, this is a situation that has the potential to turn into a nightmare.

We are in dire need of charismatic leadership from the Government.
Someone had better go and beat a tattoo on Drake's drum.
I think instilling a managed level of fear into people is a useful and necessary tactic. We don’t want to cause hysteria and panic, sending everyone bat-**** (sorry) crazy. But,people need to be frightened enough to take this seriously. Kids need telling that they might end up with no mum or dad at the end of all this.
 
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Barry Shittpeas

Esteemed Pedelecer
Jan 1, 2020
2,325
3,210
The next real worry is if the Public in London take fright and evacuate en- masse
If they do, steep fines won't stop them, this is a situation that has the potential to turn into a nightmare.

We are in dire need of charismatic leadership from the Government.
Someone had better go and beat a tattoo on Drake's drum.
Go where and live where? They are trapped. They will be ok if they stay at home and only go out for food and medicine. It’s dead simple, but they can’t do it for some reason.
 

Woosh

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May 19, 2012
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Southend on Sea
wooshbikes.co.uk
@ flecc - I am very sorry to hear the news. You have our condolences and best wishes.
No matter how much one has been prepared for it, it will never be easy when it comes.
Look after yourself more than ever now.
 

oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
23,461
32,613
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In the Guardian
"
Boris Johnson has spent a second night in intensive care amid concerns about the seriousness of his condition and how the government will make key decisions about the coronavirus pandemic in his absence.

The foreign secretary, Dominic Raab, who is deputising for the prime minister, has no power to make major decisions without cabinet agreement, it emerged on Tuesday.

In other words as things stands the country is in free fall as far as leadership goes.

Time this shower pretending to be a government were thrown out.
Time for the Queen to choose a successor to Boris
 
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oldgroaner

Esteemed Pedelecer
Nov 15, 2015
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The information coming in is sounding worse than conspiracy theories do!

As the war of words rages in the UK, in a further blow to herd immunity theory, Jaap van Dissel, director of the Centre for Infectious Disease Control at RIVM explains, "Those with milder infections of Covid-19 generate fewer antibodies against the virus"

Jaap van Dissel "The first numbers show that those with a serious infection have a higher concentration of antibodies than those who have had a mild infection."

Researchers in Shanghai hope to determine whether some recovered
coronavirus patients
have a higher risk of reinfection after finding surprisingly low levels of Covid-19 antibodies in a number of people discharged from hospital.
A team from Fudan University analysed blood samples from 175 patients discharged from the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Centre and found that nearly a third had unexpectedly low levels of antibodies.
In some cases, antibodies could not be detected at all.
“Whether these patients were at high risk of rebound or reinfection should be explored in further studies,” the team wrote in preliminary research released on Monday on Medrxiv.org, an online platform for preprint papers.

At least 51 patients diagnosed as having fully recovered from the coronavirus in South Korea have tested positive a second time after leaving quarantine, according to officials.

The patients from Daegu all tested positive in a “relatively short time” after they were given the all-clear from their initial infections, the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) said, according to the government-funded Yonhap News Agency.

A specialist team has been sent to conduct an epidemiological investigation in the city, which is the epicenter of the epidemic in South Korea, the agency says.

For now, the KCDC’s director-general, Jeong Eun-kyeong, believes it is likely the infection was re-activated after remaining dormant in the patients, as opposed to them being reinfected, the report said.
 

Barry Shittpeas

Esteemed Pedelecer
Jan 1, 2020
2,325
3,210
The information coming in is sounding worse than conspiracy theories do!

As the war of words rages in the UK, in a further blow to herd immunity theory, Jaap van Dissel, director of the Centre for Infectious Disease Control at RIVM explains, "Those with milder infections of Covid-19 generate fewer antibodies against the virus"

Jaap van Dissel "The first numbers show that those with a serious infection have a higher concentration of antibodies than those who have had a mild infection."

Researchers in Shanghai hope to determine whether some recovered
coronavirus patients
have a higher risk of reinfection after finding surprisingly low levels of Covid-19 antibodies in a number of people discharged from hospital.
A team from Fudan University analysed blood samples from 175 patients discharged from the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Centre and found that nearly a third had unexpectedly low levels of antibodies.
In some cases, antibodies could not be detected at all.
“Whether these patients were at high risk of rebound or reinfection should be explored in further studies,” the team wrote in preliminary research released on Monday on Medrxiv.org, an online platform for preprint papers.

At least 51 patients diagnosed as having fully recovered from the coronavirus in South Korea have tested positive a second time after leaving quarantine, according to officials.

The patients from Daegu all tested positive in a “relatively short time” after they were given the all-clear from their initial infections, the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) said, according to the government-funded Yonhap News Agency.

A specialist team has been sent to conduct an epidemiological investigation in the city, which is the epicenter of the epidemic in South Korea, the agency says.

For now, the KCDC’s director-general, Jeong Eun-kyeong, believes it is likely the infection was re-activated after remaining dormant in the patients, as opposed to them being reinfected, the report said.
That is very serious, if true.
 
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Danidl

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Sep 29, 2016
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Ireland
Those of you who responded with kindness to my post about my brother being rushed into Poole General Hospital on Monday, semi conscious as a possible Covid 19 victim may wish to know the outcome.

He died at 2pm.

This was expected since he was 87 with serious underlying health issues which were already limiting his remaining life span and severely damaging his quality of life. In view of the ongoing corona issues we are having him cremated and the funeral for himself that he had already arranged and paid for will be deferred until next year to allow relatives and friends to travel to Dorset.
.
My sincere sympathies. Even if it somewhat expected , it is a major wrench.
 
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sjpt

Esteemed Pedelecer
Jun 8, 2018
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Winchester
As things stands the country is in free fall as far as leadership goes.
maybe free fall in CV management is better than the accelerated fall our leadership has provided.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,200
30,603
Condolences to you flecc. I have been wondering about your brother’s health since you mentioned his situation. I hope you are ok.
I'm ok thank you. I have the comfort that whenI visited him last in September I was able to give him a very good day.

He'd had to give up driving afew years earlier, so with the weather kind to us I spent a day driving him around all his old haunts where there had been developments that he wanted to see. My e-car was a completely new and enjoyable experience for him too. Then in the evening I treated him to a top class meal of his choice in the best restaurant in the area. He thoroughly enjoyed that day which made a considerable change from his usual routine.
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