No, they've been doing that poll every month for a long time.
remain was up to 15-16 points ahead when David Cameron called the referendum. However, a couple of days before the referendum, John Curtice was on TV saying it was too close to call.
it depends how they do the polls. I think they can be deliberately skewed to make people believe that's the way to vote. Has anyone on here ever been invited to vote in one??
How do they get in touch with people these days? Do they still phone? We do not have a landline (well, we do, but it is only there to permit broadband).
the way they set up the dataset, profiles, number of respondents, the responses, the confidence margin etc are all explained in the PDF link that I supplied.
mostly by preselected panels then phones or emails.
And had quite a bit to do with the last minute campaign by Cambridge Analytica adverts to suckers.
And in the case of Conservative Party Members Ouija boards usually work
Yeah we do. I lost £100 betting the wrong way. And OG won betting the right way. Yet we both voted opposite to how be bet. Heart and mind stuff I guess.
Be careful. Brexit does need to be taken out ofTM’s hands, but that needs doing with sensitivity towards leave voters. If Brexit is thwarted with a blunt instrument, many millions who voted for, and still feel passionate about it will be seething with anger. They may not all take to the streets, but a percentage will. That is always dangerous as it can draw in others who don’t even care about Brexit, but just want civil unrest and looting. We have seen this happening before in the 1980s.
Could well be possible the reason the polls got it so wrong is that Leave 'found' 3m or so voters that they targeted that had never ever voted before in anything. The kind of people pollsters might have struggled to find/contact themselves.
