I can partially agree with you on this.
The available statistics on Covid deaths show such a wide difference in ASR(Age Specific Rate, deaths per 100,000 people) that passive mitigation won't explain enough.
Most of those deaths are in the 80+ group (yours, 80% of the total) plus a smaller percentage in the 70-79 group (mine, 15% of the total). I am concerned enough for our safety that I checked the numbers myself. Worst time of the year is winter followed by autumn.
* small samples
ASR by Season
status | Age group | Winter | Spring | Autumn |
---|
Second dose | 10-59 | N/A | N/A | 1.8 |
Second dose | 60-69 | N/A | N/A | 8.8 |
Second dose | 70-79 | N/A | N/A | 24.3 |
Second dose | 80+ | 52* | 11.1* | 89 |
Unvaccinated | 10-59 | 11.2 | 0.7 | 5 |
Unvaccinated | 60-69 | 145.8 | 34.4 | 101 |
Unvaccinated | 70-79 | 645.8 | 38 | 198 |
Unvaccinated | 80+ | 4529.7 | 128 | 495.5 |
Vaccine efficacy + adoption of passive mitigations:
Age group | 10-59 | 60-69 | 70-79 | 80+ |
vaccine efficacy | 89.35% | 96.73% | 97.01% | 97.05% |
Thanks for this, very interesting. Of course the exceptionally high Autumn/Winter death rates of the unvaccinated over 60s are easy to explain, the unvaccinated are also very likely to be Covid deniers who don't mask or distance, plus cold weather is a very big factor in the elderly.
That is especially true in my case, 85 years old, heart and circulation problems and increasing severe primary Raynauds syndrome, meaning just a hint of sensing cold and the circulation in my extremities disappears. As odd as it sounds it's why I have an electric car.
In January 2018 walking to my garage some distance from my home and up the steep hill I was suffering the pain of the very cold air snatching at my lungs. By the time I'd opened the garage door and got into my icy cold car and touched the steering wheel my hands had lost feeling and I started uncontrollably shivering and feeling so ill the prospect of trying to drive for a while before the car started to warm up left me despairing at my worsening situation.
So although I couldn't possibly justify it with my very low mileage, I made the decision that I had to get one so I could have the instant heat I needed to stay well. I've owned mine for nearly four years now and although it sounds dramatic it's probably why I'm still alive now.
To explain, I'd suffered a long series of various minor but worsening heart attacks, but over time since then I've gradually been able to get the situation under control with a variety of methods removing stresses and triggers, and the car has been instrumental in this each winter.
This year since January I've actually a achieved a far better state of health than in any of the three previous years. For example 26 of those heart attacks in 2020 but none to date this year since 29th January.
Cold is still the main enemy I have to watch for though. Since the booster vaccine centre was in cold spot and queuing likely again, I had to check the forecast before refixing my appointment. With several days at between 1 and 4 degrees before and after, it had to be Tuesday afternoon with 8 to 10 degrees forecast so it's at 2.20 pm then!
To deter anyone from advising various clothing, it doesn't create heat, it only keeps it in. When I don't have enough heat in the first place there's little to be kept in before I start feeling faint.
I've probably had the heart trouble all my life without knowing it since I used to black out completely when I was young. The first time it happened was at six years old, in a cold November and walking with the family I apparently dropped unconcious like a stone. When I came to I was being carried by my father and freezing cold, very white and soaked with sweat. The same happened a number of times until the last occasion at 16, scaring people around me each time, but it had become routine for me.
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