What do you think?

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Deleted member 4366

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I was riding my bike the other day, which gave me time to think about things, and suddenly the one above sent a thought into my brain, so I thought I'd share it.

We're dependent on Russia and other countries to supply us with oil and gas. They know that we need it and can't really get it anywhere else, so they keep bumping up the price. Some government agency is tasked with doing something about it, so they hatch a fantastic plot.

They spread the word that we have vast reserves of gas under the country, which we can get by fracking. They start up a few drilling rigs, and tell everybody that they can get loads of gas with this method. One of rigs only digs a deep hole, down which they place a bomb or three, which they explode. People feel the vibrations. so the agency tells them that it was an earthquake caused by fracking. They spread the news in a massive publicity campaign, so everyone gets nervous about fracking. Then they wind up a few reactionaries to start a campaign to prevent fracking. In the meantime they negotiate new contracts for gas with Russia. They tell them that we don't really need it because we've got our own now, and finally settle a deal at a much lower price, telling the Russians it's just insurance in case there's too much trouble with fracking protesters.

They then wind up the protesters a bit more, so that they camp round a rig threatening to stop it, so the agency tells them that they'll stop drilling for a bit while they decide what to do. Later, a big announcement is made that fracking is suspended because of public opinion, and because they've got lower prices from the Russians that makes it less economically viable, and they'll reconsider the situation if the price of gas goes up again.

All goes quiet on the fracking front apart from a bit of pseudo-experimental drilling, just to keep the Russians on their toes.

This whole scenario suddenly appeared in my brain. I didn't have to figure out anything. I wonder what I'll get on the next ride.
 

neptune

Esteemed Pedelecer
Jan 30, 2012
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OMG d8veh, make sure you get out on your bike more often. You`re not just a genius on bike batteries, are you? Fact is stranger than fiction, and your story is so strange that it`s almost certainly true! If anyone doubts this, look up the story of "The man who never was."
 

trex

Esteemed Pedelecer
May 15, 2011
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if fracking gets the go ahead, it would be at least 20 years before Britain can be heated in winter with our own shale gaz. It's true that western Europe has a lot of shale gaz reserve and perhaps we'll buy gaz from Poland instead of Russia in the future.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
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Actually 20% of our gas is Norwegian through the Langeled pipeline, we also have bulk tanker supplies from the Middle East and the North Sea still produces about 13% with an increase likely due to the new tax breaks, so the Russians can't exactly have us over a barrel. It's more mainland Europe that's in that position.

I think we'll see fracking soon with adequate returns, the US experience shows how commonplace such gas is. And I think the human race is on a nihilistic path to use up all of the earth's fossil fuels before the loss forces a total change in the way we all live.
 

flecc

Member
Oct 25, 2006
53,155
30,572
if fracking gets the go ahead, it would be at least 20 years before Britain can be heated in winter with our own shale gaz.
It will be much quicker than that, even at our slow motion pace of doing things. The USA suffered virtually no delay between intent and use. From North Sea oil and gas experience, it's more likely that 20 years sees our shale gas running out!
 

trex

Esteemed Pedelecer
May 15, 2011
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No fracking in England! Have you read the ASA ruling on CRL prospectus? I know Lord Browne has long arms but planning will slow them down, HSE costs alone will exceed production cost in Poland.
 

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