Leaving the EU

morphix

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Great post... I know politics turns many people off (or results in heated debates/rows!) but the referendum is a landmark historic turning point in our countries history and requires debating and discussion.

What astonishes me is that David Cameron and the Conservatives ran for election on a "wholesale reforms or exit referendum" mandate, adopting a "no more integration or EU expense, and more security over our borders" stance, and now seems to have moved 180 degrees to a pro-EU position (in his usual schizophrenic style of politics), sending glossy leaflets to every household doing a nice marketing job on remaining in the EU, whilst playing on sketchy fears and scare-mongering, without any hard evidence leaving the EU would fundamentally damage the UK or our economy.

It's not what we would expect from a Euro-sceptic government. It's not what we would expect from even a Euro-neutral government, that just reports the facts, so people can make an informed decision. It's basically treating voters as though they're not worthy of making an informed decision and TELLING them how they should vote. This is also supported by the fact Obama made an "in-speech" (no doubt at Cameron's request) whilst conveniently here for the Queen's birthday celebrations.. and the BBC has gone into propaganda over-drive I see, trying to build the case every day for why the UK should remain chained to the EU.

My own observations and opinions on this, are that the EU is a totally FAILED project. It's a sinking ship and the sooner we get off it the better. It would be the best decision the UK could make for so many reasons. Firstly, we'd start saying £50 million pounds a DAY. Imagine what they would do the help the struggling NHS, overcrowded schools, ease the housing shortage?

When people talk about the cost of our EU membership, they merely look at our EU membership fee (and some try to argue since we have retained our rebate, it's not so bad, and we do get some grants and funding from the EU).

Actually, the REAL cost to the British economy of our continued EU membership is colossal. It runs into 100's of billions of pounds EVERY YEAR. And I'm not exaggerating. Think about it. You have two parallel political systems. Two parallel legal systems. You have the costs on 1,000's of industries of adopting to a constant and endless stream of EU Directives and silly nonsense from the EU Commission, obsessed with common market uniformity and pointless bureaucracy, regardless of the cost or practical benefits. How straight does a banana or cucumber need to be?! Anyone remember that?

Seriously, the EU is a technocratic and bureaucracy nightmare and it's getting worse every year. Their end vision, is a federal superstate, the dissolving of nation member states, and a new kind of United States, with one economy, one currency, one military, one everything.

Who wants that in the UK? Not many. We certainly don't want the Euro which would be HUGELY damaging to the EU's economy (thank God labour weren't foolish enough to adopt it, although Gordon Brown did thrown billions of pounds down the drain selling our gold reserve to buy Euro's for a 'currency we're NEVER going to join now!)

So, how can we even consider remaining members of the EU, when the UK wants totally different things from the EU and has a totally different vision of what the EU should be, than what the EU does?

Cameron promised us a deal in the UK's interests, and that included "wholesale reforms" of the EU. He was basically told where to go by the EU. The deal he did manage to get, is hardly worth anything and comes nowhere close to what he was asking for. And he expects people to vote to remain on that basis? He must be crazy. Let's summarize what he got:

1) The UK retains its membership-fee rebate (no change then, and that's not guaranteed forever). And really, we should not even have to argue our case for this. The UK is a unique member, we're a tiny densely populated island that has to import a lot of our produce, and so our costs are far higher than other much larger countries which stronger agricultural economies and land-borders with other member-states allow cheaper and easier access to produce.

2) He's gained us the right not to remain outside the Euro (well, again, no change. So the British public made it clear we'd never adopt the Euro, even if the government forced it on us!).

3) He's got some loose agreement on the UK moving more slowly towards total economic unification the right to abstain from certain aspects such as common monetary policy (really this is a given, since 70% of the UK's economy depends on the financial services sector, and we cannot afford to take the gambles the other EU member states can here).

The crucial missing parts (the government failed to mention in their glossy leaflets) are:

1) Immigration control. No deal. in fact told absolutely NO WAY would the UK be allowed to unilaterally apply migration quotas on EU citizens entering the UK (so no sensible, sustainable points-based-system, he proposed, and the possibility of 100,000's of Turkish people coming here eventually when they gain membership). EU migration is already pushing UK immigration levels to unsustainable levels (many groups agree on this) which kind of defeats the government's own 30k a year immigration cap from those arriving from outside the EU. Cameron has been told, remaining a member or even doing trade with the EU means open borders and unquoted immigration (yet countries like the US trade with EU and don't get told, oh you must accept 100,000's of EU citizens if you want to trade with us!)

2) Border security. No deal. This ties into the above, but even Cameron's call for EU member states to be apply to apply TEMPORARY border closure or quotas on EU migration due to the very real national security risks we face (MI5/MI6 have commented on this) on allowing people to enter the UK freely from parts of the EU, and the fact so many asylum seekers on unparalleled levels are now flowing into the EU, not just from Syria, but all over the Middle East and parts of Africa. So we cannot control our borders in terms of national emergency, we cannot depot or extradite terrorists still, and we have a huge problem on the French-UK border looming with 1,000's of illegal asylum seekers amassing intent on entering the UK illegally).

3) Reforms on the future of EU: No deal. The EU is inflexible on the key issues and mandate they're pursuing regarding creating a single federal super-state model. They tell us we should use the European Parliament. We're just one tiny voice there and have no chance of getting any reforms. The Franco-German (and their cronies) dominated EU Parliament do not take the UK seriously. We're marginalized and it's pretty clear we cannot reform the EU as members.

There is no doubt, that leaving the EU carries uncertainties for the UK and challenges ahead. However, that should not be a reason for not leaving it. The UK is the 5th largest economy in the world and so if much smaller countries such as Norway and Switzerland can negotiate trade deals with the EU and survive outside it, I'm pretty sure we can too. And much our trade is with America and elsewhere. The emerging and developing country markets such as India, China and South America are where the UK should now be looking to build good export trade relations. And even the Commonwealth (53 countries, over 2 billion people) is a huge opportunity for international trade and development we're just ignoring, an incredible landmass, an abundance of labour and natural resources, massive growth potential for UK firms. We are not dependent on the EU, and neither would (or should) leaving the EU affect our trade with the EU. There is no reason we can't negotiate our own trade deals with every country or regional trade blocs (and if we don't like the EU's terms, just negotiate with individual countries and go around it).
 
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tillson

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Cameron never wanted the referendum, never wanted out of Europe and never believed he could secure any meaningful EU reform. He only did and said all of these things because he was running scared of Nigel Farage and UKIP.

He like his glossy, tax payer funded pro EU leaflet, is full of lies and deceit. People aren't as stupid as he thinks they are and this mind-set will back-fire on him in spectacular fashion.

Obama is a spent force that never was. He was simply doing Cameron's bidding when he lied to the British public. Here is a man who two weeks ago was advocating that the UK should accept weak border control and the free unchecked movement of foreign nationals. This week, the US tightened their borders. What a hypocrit. Anyway, Obama will have disappeared for good this time next year. He will be surfing the ethnic ticket on some civil rights movement if anyone cares to look him up. We should be listening to future President Donald Trump. He will be the new president that Boris Johnson will be welcoming to Downing Street in his capacity as Prime Minister.

If the EU was such a good thing, there would be no requirement to lie, hoodwink and recruit a foreign gob to do the talking. The fact that Cameron is doing all of these things tells you all you need to know. OUT.
 
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morphix

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Let's look at the EU's track record...

More countries have been either bankrupted or are financially WORSE OFF now than before they joined. Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Spain, and the list is still growing.

Nobody can argue the Euro is a great success, it's lost a third? of its value, and trying to economically unify fundamentally different economies and countries, under a single economic and monetary policy is sheer madness. It was bound to fail, as indeed it has. Germany (the only country with a massive trade surplus) now faces a "blank cheque-book" policy and carrying the EU debt on its shoulders... many Germans are openly rebelling against this and whether Merkel can get re-elected on that is unlikely. I see she is now back-pedaling fast, as the political climate in Germany is turning against her and hardening on the EU.

France is facing a massive financial cliff in the not too distant future but is in denial.

The future of the EU is very uncertain. I'd say the risk of staying in it is greater to the UK than the risk of leaving it, if the past and present situation is anything to go by.

The UK's national deficit is riding dangerously high, and this is closely tied to the colossal cost of remaining EU members. If we left, and started to make massive savings and so investments in our own economy, I'm sure it would have a net positive effect on our economy (I've heard some economists agree).
 
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tillson

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So glad we rejected the Euro.

I've been in Italy and Swizerland for the past week. There is a strong anti EU feeling in Italy and I imagine the same is true in other EU countries. This of course is not being reported and is being censored from the news. If the UK vote to leave next month, I hope that it brings the whole house of cards crashing down. I don't think the majority of citizens within Europe wanted the EU in its present form right from the beginning.
 
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tillson

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That's my choice, far better than Westminster ruling. Here's another current example of how much better the EU looks after us than our rotten UK national governments.

The EU have a new measure coming in, giving everyone a right to a bank account.

The UK government are preparing their version, which is a right to ask for a bank account.

In other words, no right at all, a foretaste of what David Cameron's proposed Bill of Rights will offer in place of the excellent Human Rights Act.
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This is a good move by the UK government, for once. There are people in the UK who are incapable of using a toilet properly. If you allow these people to administer a bank account, they will abuse it, commit fraud, and run up debt. The fruits of their activities will then fall on the shoulders of the responsible account holders. This is partly the reason why I've had to move money from banking into property.

A good move by the UK I say. If we get out of the EU we will be free to extend this practice into other areas.
 
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morphix

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Cameron never wanted the referendum, never wanted out of Europe and never believed he could secure any meaningful EU reform. He only did and said all of these things because he was running scared of Nigel Farage and UKIP.

He like his glossy, tax payer funded pro EU leaflet, is full of lies and deceit. People aren't as stupid as he thinks they are and this mind-set will back-fire on him in spectacular fashion.

Obama is a spent force that never was. He was simply doing Cameron's bidding when he lied to the British public. Here is a man who two weeks ago was advocating that the UK should accept weak border control and the free unchecked movement of foreign nationals. This week, the US tightened their borders. What a hypocrit. Anyway, Obama will have disappeared for good this time next year. He will be surfing the ethnic ticket on some civil rights movement if anyone cares to look him up. We should be listening to future President Donald Trump. He will be the new president that Boris Johnson will be welcoming to Downing Street in his capacity as Prime Minister.

If the EU was such a good thing, there would be no requirement to lie, hoodwink and recruit a foreign gob to do the talking. The fact that Cameron is doing all of these things tells you all you need to know. OUT.
Good post and points Tillson.

If the EU is so great for the UK, why not put out the facts and evidence to support that view.

All we have seen so far is "40% of our export trade is with the EU and 100,000's of jobs depend on that trade". "we'd face an uncertain future".

When a government is trying so hard to persuade us to vote one way (which most people are opposed to when you get down to the core issues, ie single currency, total unification and the dissolving of national sovereignty, cultural identity and our borders open to unsustainable unregulated mass immigration etc) you just know that there is something fishy about it.

Remember career, cameleon politicians like Cameron and co, only think in 4-year terms (or less if an election is on horizon). The last thing they want is uncertainly, the prospect of having to do any real work, ie re-negotiating 100's of trade deals that are in Britain's interests, our peoples interests, rather than the EU's interests. I think they are afraid. Many businesses I speak to, welcome the prospect of a more flexible lower-tax UK economy outside the EU and the new opportunities it could bring, especially lower import taxes for a start.

At present, we have the absurd situation where a small business like mine that imports goods, would be better off by-passing the UK and EU and simply importing goods into Gibraltar or the United States, where they have zero import taxes and no duty, then selling goods into the EU marketplace directly to consumers, and eventually leaving the UK/EU entirely and relocating your business to Gibraltar or the US. That is just absurd, but that's the reality. The EU is like an anti-business entity! An obstacle and handicap to competing in the global economy.
 
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tillson

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When any UK government tries to persuade people to do something, they instinctively do the opposite.

I was too young to remember this, but I've seen it reported in documentaries;

Back in the 70s when we had the power black-outs due to the striking miners and the government wanted us to save power, the government of the day planned to carry out a publicity stunt. The proposal was to erect a giant Watt meter (I think in Trafalgar Square) and to televise it live at 6:00 pm. The Watt meter was suppose to indicate national demand for electricity as reported form the CEGB. The idea was that we would all turn of lights and appliances (hopefully no the telly at that moment) and watch demand fall.

The government were advised against doing this because it was felt that due to the character of the British people they would actually start turning electric fires and other high consumers on in order to make the reverse happen. I think they would have done that too. it's a sort of a charming British thing.

Cameron hasn't learnt this and hopefully his EU Watt meter will go off the scale next month and the indicator needle will slice his nuts off in the process.
 
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morphix

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I just had to laugh yesterday at the BBC's terrible failed attempt at more scare-mongering propaganda on BBC Radio 4 when they sent one of their "EU political & economist journalists" to Germany to feel out what prominent German businesses feel about the impact on the UK economy would be of Brexit, and in particular the impact on Britain's financial services sector, which according to (unnamed) sources from the BBC, would be hit hard, resulting in a mass-exodus of international banks from London to Germany's financial capitals Frankfurt and Hamburg.

So they put this very question (in a leading way as usual) to the CEO of one of Germany's largest banks with HQ in Hamburg...

it went something like this: "wouldn't major foreign banks leave the UK in favour of EU countries like Germany, if we leave the EU and wouldn't that be hugely damaging to the UK economy that relies heavily on the financial services sector for most of its GDP?"

This German CEO chap responds: "No, I don't think so. I don't think many banks would leave the UK like that."

So the BBC journalist disappointed he didn't get the right answer, pushed further...

"..but isn't it fair to say, leaving the EU would have a damaging effect on the UK economy, and some banks would leave?"

German chap: "Yes maybe so to some extent, but I think the EU and EU-member states, including Germany, would also be damaged if the UK left the EU..for these reasons, many EU businesses or businesses doing business with the EU, have their own self-interests to consider concerning the UK remaining a member."

So there you have it.
 

flecc

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better off by-passing the UK and EU and simply importing goods into Gibraltar or the United States, where they have zero import taxes and no duty,
And then you wonder why we ignore these anti-EU rants, knowing how they ignore the truth.

The USA does have import duties and a variety of taxes on imported items.

Gibraltar has 12% import tax on most items.

Both facts easily checked online
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morphix

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Cameron hasn't learnt this and hopefully his EU Watt meter will go off the scale next month and the indicator needle will slice his nuts off in the process.
:D:D I truly hope so! I am counting down the days!!!!

Remember the last time the government didn't listen on immigration (Blair/Brown) and we ended up with BNP MEP's as a protest which really upset the government and sent shock waves through the establishment?! This shows the tail can wag the dog, if they're not careful.

And to UKIP (and any of the other 3 or 4 now very large, well organised anti-EU groups) my colour laser printers and time is at your disposal if you need any leaflets distributing or canvasing done in the run-up to the referendum to de-bunk the governments glossies and get some REAL facts out ;)
 

morphix

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And then you wonder why we ignore these anti-EU rants, knowing how they ignore the truth.

The USA does have import duties and a variety of taxes on imported items.

Gibraltar has 12% import tax on most items.

Both facts easily checked online
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No it doesn't. I'm actually doing exactly what I said above. I'm now having to import goods into Florida USA because its import tax-free and duty-free up to a generous limit on a wide-range of goods, and even when you DO pay duty, it's far far cheaper to import into US than EU with instant access to the largest economy on earth which if you check State by State, has extremely low sales tax compared to the wonderful unified EU common-market's 20%. The United States is a far more competitive marketplace and easier place to grow your business from, and trade internationally, if you're importing goods for resale than the EU. It's a no-brainer.

Anyone who imports regularly into EU will know how utterly corrupt and unfair the import taxation system is. It's a legalized extortion racket. They tax on freight, they tax on TAX. They even decide your freight cost for you, if they think your freight looks too cheap and you got a good deal!

I have no idea where you got the Gibraltar figure from. But I considered re-locating there in 2013 because, they have ZERO import duty on a wide range of imports, including e-bikes, batteries, and all associated items. They also have NO VAT. And not only that, very very low taxation on income tax and corporate tax. It's the last remaining tax-haven in Europe, and has resisted all attempts at UK pressure to change its position on tax.
 
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trex

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Anyone who imports regularly into EU will know how utterly corrupt and unfair the import taxation system is. It's a legalized extortion racket. They tax on freight, they tax on TAX. They even decide your freight cost for you, if they think your freight looks too cheap and you got a good deal!

I have no idea where you got the Gibraltar figure from. But I considered re-locating there in 2013 because, they have ZERO import duty on a wide range of imports, including e-bikes, batteries, and all associated items. They also have NO VAT. And not only that, very very low taxation on income tax and corporate tax. It's the last remaining tax-haven in Europe, and has resisted all attempts at UK pressure to change its position on tax.
so you are against paying import duty and taxes?
 

morphix

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So glad we rejected the Euro.

I've been in Italy and Swizerland for the past week. There is a strong anti EU feeling in Italy and I imagine the same is true in other EU countries. This of course is not being reported and is being censored from the news. If the UK vote to leave next month, I hope that it brings the whole house of cards crashing down. I don't think the majority of citizens within Europe wanted the EU in its present form right from the beginning.

You're right, it's not being widely reported in mainstream media.

Check the growing unrest in Germany...mass rallies now, German style, like only they can do them!!

 
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morphix

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You used the words, "where they have zero import tax and no duty".

That was obviously misleading since they do have those to varying degrees.
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Not for the vast majority of small businesses who DO get taxed in EU, they don't. I was speaking in that context. Small businesses are the backbone of our economy. Large corporations (especially American), operating within the EU, are able to simply by-pass import taxes and domestic VAT (or have done in the past) by going off-shore or hiding their whereabouts. They don't pay their fair share, yet micro-businesses and small companies, get lumbered with crushing import taxes that severely limit our ability to compete domestically, within the EU, or internationally.
 
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morphix

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It might surprise you to learn that I quite admire Jeremy Corbin. I admire the fact that he is not afraid to state who he is and what he represents. This is done in the full knowledge that it may not be a popular view and is likely to earn him a kicking in the press. That requires moral courage and is a good character trait in a public figure.

I thought it was disgusting how he was bullied into singing the national anthem last year. It's his choice and he will live with and take the consequences of his decision.

Even though I disagree with some of his views, I'd rather vote for Corbin than other weathervane politicians. You just don't know what you are getting with so many of them.
I'm no Labour fan either, but I admire anyone who sticks to their principles, knows what they stand for, and sticks by it, no matter what opposition they face or criticism. There was a good drama I watched which plays on this theme... (it's on BBC iPlayer) called "A Very British Coup"...which is a fictionalized story of a very left-wing PM (I think the PM character was based on Tony Benn) forming a government, and the establishment inconjunction with intelligence services and American government conspiring to remove him! Really gripping stuff. Great drama if you haven't seen it.

These populist career politicians like Cameron "man of the people", seem to form their policies almost day by day, largely from reading the newspapers and watching the news...it can make your head spin how fast he does u-turns, Lady Thatcher must be turning in her grave! They have no fixed compass or long-term plan on anything beyond getting out of politics comfortably. They claim to be in touch with the voting electorate but they don't make any attempts to consult us? We live in the 21st century where voting on major issues could and should be routine and done online.

Yes we have the e-petition thingy and "open government" but the government cherry-picks which e-petitions they raise in parliament, even if you reach the magic number of signatures (what is it, 100,000)?
 
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morphix

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like your "facts" I commented on here
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We have seen ZERO facts from the government to support an exit-vote damaging the UK and its economy. Just a lot of scare-mongering and illogical comments like Obama's.

They quote how much trade we do with EU in % terms, and how many jobs depend on that trade. As those those jobs will disappear and trade with EU will end.

Nothing substantial or measurable which can be critically analyzed by academics. Just a lot of vagueness, which naturally, is hard to quantify or discuss critically.

Likewise, the government has totally ignored the MANY clear and obvious benefits of the UK leaving the EU. These are not in the arena of debate or even open for discussion as far as the government is concerned, they gave no paper space to them (even despite people WITHIN the government itself in FAVOUR of us leaving and some now even resigning over this issue). The government has decided, it's better for us to remain in the EU and made a very biased case out without any evidence to back it up. Surely it's better for a government to present the facts, and take a balanced and neutral stand-point and let people decide the UK's fate.

Else what's the point of having a referendum and a debate at all?

At the end of the day, why do we need an EU institution to tell us where we can go already, where we can trade already, and what we can do already, and costing us billions in the process?

The short answer is we don't.
 
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flecc

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We have seen ZERO facts from the government to support an exit-vote damaging the UK and its economy. Just a lot of scare-mongering and illogical comments like Obama's. Nothing substantial or measurable which can be critically analyzed by academics. Just a lot of vagueness, which naturally, is hard to quantify or discuss critically.

Likewise, the government has totally ignored the MANY clear and obvious benefits of the UK leaving the EU. These are not in the arena of debate or even open for discussion as far as the government is concerned, they gave no paper space to them (even despite people WITHIN the government itself in FAVOUR of us leaving and some now even resigning over this issue). The government has decided, it's better for us to remain in the EU and made its case out without any evidence to back it up.

So what's the point of having a referendum and a debate at all?
I agree with much of this, but the best way to oppose it is with strict truth, not using the same methods.

The London mayoral election has surely demonstrated this now. The disgusting attempt to wrongly discredit Sadiq Khan resulted in the largest ever turnout for Labour and what is now said to be the largest personal vote for an individual in our political history.

The Conservatives have belatedly realised their mistake and have backtracked on their comments and say they now wish to work with Sadiq. Little wonder, they'd love to be as immensely popular.

What I'd welcome now is an honest debate on the EU membership issue with no attacks on the other side, concentrating only on the actual issues.

To start that, may I politely point out that your last paragraph lacks logic? The government as a supporter of staying in has no duty whatsoever to remark on any of the benefits of leaving. They've put their position fairly and now it's for the leave campaign to do the same. Likewise the leave campaign have no duty to observe the advantages of staying in.

After all, would you expect a political party to highlight the advantages of their opponent's manifesto?
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